16:38 Hamilton

Phoenix Drilling Ground Investigation Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Soft · 8 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 28 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Great Profit (IRE)
Barry McHugh·Stephen Hanlon
8/1·9.00
SP
2nd
Solid Bond (IRE)
Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll·beaten 1.75 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP
3rd
Impressor (IRE)AI top pick · 45.5
Connor Beasley·Phillip Makin·beaten 2.25 lengths
9/2·5.50
SP

Race time

1m 1.40s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Great Profit (IRE))

“Settled off the pace early - angled right approaching final 2f then repositioned right entering the last furlong to challenge - hit the front entering the last furlong - opened up inside 110 yards and stayed on strongly”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way45.5/100 rating

Impressor

8.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Thunderstorm Katie

Thunderstorm Katie arrives here on a progressive profile that gives her an edge over rivals rated above her on paper, and the fitness angle strengthens the case further on this soft Hamilton five furlongs. Roach Power and Great Profit head the field on ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Vince L'Amour, just two pounds off the pace, also poses a credible threat in what is an open contest. Confidence is modest given the quality ranged against her, but the trajectory of Thunderstorm Katie's form makes her the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Impressor

Connor Beasley · Phillip Makin · 9yo

Top-rated of 8

score 45.5 · +1.4 clear of next best (44.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
8d since last run (quick turnaround)
Trainer20% weight
68strong
Phillip Makin: 3/11 winners last 14d (27%)
Ratings50% weight
36below average
OR 54
Form20% weight
35below average
Last 6: 3-6-0-8-0-1

MarketBest price 8.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Hamilton 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.19

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.00

High (7–8)

IV 0.79

Today: Great Profit (draw 3) and Vince L'Amour (draw 1) get the bias; Impressor (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Great Profit J: Barry McHugh · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 3 3yo · G · b	222130	9-11	70	—	—	41.5	8/1·9.00 SP
2	5	Solid Bond J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 5 4yo · F · bt	08319	9-00	58	—	—	34.7	12/1·13.00 SP
3	6	Impressor J: Connor Beasley · T: Phillip Makin · draw 7 9yo · G · bp	360801	9-00	54	—	—	45.5	9/2·5.50 SP
4	2	Thunderstorm Katie J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 5yo · M · b	291624	9-12	70	—	—	44.1	7/1·8.00 SP
5	1	Roach Power J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 2 7yo · G · grb	740707	9-12	70	—	—	32.8	2/1F·3.00 SP
6	7	Supremissy J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 6 3yo · F · b	194792	8-09	54	—	—	39.2	15/2·8.50 SP
7	8	Never Dark J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 4 9yo · G · b	726370	8-07	51	—	—	35.7	10/1·11.00 SP
8	4	Vince L'Amour J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 5yo · G · btb	902086	9-10	68	—	—	40.6	13/2·7.50 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:38 Hamilton on 28 September 2026?

Great Profit (IRE) won the 16:38 Hamilton at SP 9.00. Ridden by Barry McHugh. Trained by Stephen Hanlon.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:38 Hamilton?

No — the AI top pick (Impressor) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:38 Hamilton?

Top finishers: 1. Great Profit (IRE) (9.00), 2. Solid Bond (IRE) (13.00), 3. Impressor (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:38 Hamilton?

The winning time was 1m 1.40s.

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