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RacingAlpha

14:35 Curragh

Ireland

Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap

5f · Flat · Yielding · 20 runners · €30,000 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Red Evolution (IRE)
    Reese Holohan·M D O'Callaghan
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Cardiff By The Sea (IRE)
    Julian Pietropaolo·J A Stack·beaten .5 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Moltophino (IRE)
    Declan McDonogh·John Andrew Kinsella·beaten 1.25 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
Race time
58.99s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Red Evolution (IRE))

“Handy early - moved into contention inside the final furlong then rallied to overhaul the front-runner late - edged in front right on the line”

AI top-rated Rosie Frith (score 62.2) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 22.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way51.1/100 rating
Red Evolution
5.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Bounty

Bounty arrives on a progressive profile that gives us reason to side with him over the top-rated Kendall Roy, who holds a narrow three-pound edge on these assessments but may have less improvement left to offer. Erosandpsyche and Keke, both rated a pound above Bounty, are legitimate threats in a deep twenty-runner field over this sharp five furlongs at the Curragh on good ground, and any one of the three could make this competitive. The case for Bounty rests on the belief that his upward curve has further to run, though in a race this wide open no selection can be held with great conviction. Bounty is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Rosie Frith

Jack Kearney(3) · Patrick Magee · 3yo

Top-rated of 20
score 62.2 · +2.7 clear of next best (59.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    73small sample (n=7)
    Patrick Magee: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    62average
    OR 93 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    48below average
    Last 6: 0-1-4-4-1-0
MarketBest price 36.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 8th in the market of 20.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.03
Mid (8–14)
IV 0.84
High (15–20)
IV 1.12

Today: Rosie Frith (draw 18) and Heddon Street (draw 15) get the bias; Namiid (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
111
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 20
4yo · G · cht
40712
8551.1
100/30·4.33
SP
214
J: Julian Pietropaolo(7) · T: J A Stack · draw 19
3yo · F · b
10755
8343.2
18/1·19.00
SP
312
5yo · G · btb
979921
8448.2
15/2·8.50
SP
418
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 16
5yo · G · btb
150000
7533.5
40/1·41.00
SP
54
J: J M Sheridan · T: A Oliver · draw 17
8yo · G · bb
626090
9340.5
22/1·23.00
SP
66
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 18
3yo · F · b
014410
9362.2
22/1·23.00
SP
715
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Gillian Scott · draw 5
3yo · F · btp
926212
8251.6
11/1·12.00
SP
816
6yo · G · grp
794350
7540.3
25/1·26.00
SP
93
J: Colin Keane · T: Edward Lynam · draw 9
6yo · G · btpFT TP
514440
9445.7
13/2·7.50
SP
1019
J: Rory Cleary · T: Tracey Collins · draw 8
5yo · G · ch
315604
6939.7
33/1·34.00
SP
119
J: James Ryan · T: Edward Lynam · draw 13
4yo · G · btFT T
8094
8938.3
50/1·51.00
SP
1213
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 10
3yo · G · bp
314232
8556.9
10/1·11.00
SP
135
J: W. M. Lordan · T: M C Grassick · draw 3
4yo · F · bp
702240
9245.1
16/1·17.00
SP
1410
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 1
4yo · G · b
330016
8844.0
11/4F·3.75
SP
1520
J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Martin Hassett · draw 14
8yo · G · bt
060621
6950.6
20/1·21.00
SP
167
3yo · G · b
53506
9141.4
50/1·51.00
SP
1717
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Leonard Paul Flynn · draw 15
3yo · G · bp
122
7658.2
80/1·81.00
SP
188
J: W. J. Lee · T: W. McCreery · draw 2
8yo · G · b
32150
9059.5
12/1·13.00
SP
192
8yo · G · btp
825825
9750.6
28/1·29.00
SP
201
J: Chris Hayes · T: Miss Kate McGivern · draw 6
5yo · G · btp
019368
9948.9
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:35 Curragh on 26 September 2026?

Red Evolution (IRE) won the 14:35 Curragh at SP 4.33. Ridden by Reese Holohan. Trained by M D O'Callaghan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:35 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Rosie Frith) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 14:35 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Red Evolution (IRE) (4.33), 2. Cardiff By The Sea (IRE) (19.00), 3. Moltophino (IRE) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:35 Curragh?

The winning time was 58.99s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org