Who won the 15:45 Curragh on 27 September 2026?
Curracloe (USA) won the 15:45 Curragh at SP 2.62. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by J. P. Murtagh.
15:45 Curragh
IrelandDarley Fillies Stakes (Group 3)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Heavy · 8 runners · €42,000 · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stCurracloe (USA)Ben Coen·J. P. Murtagh13/8J·2.62SP
- 2ndAlpine Wedding (IRE)AI top pick · 67.8W. J. Lee·P. Twomey·beaten 2.75 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdDamsel In Distress (IRE)Colin Keane·Daniel McLoughlin·beaten 2.25 lengths13/8J·2.62SP
Race time
1m 28.30s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Curracloe (USA))
“Sat handy behind pace - 3rd at halfway then into 2nd and driven approaching 2f out - hit front a furlong out and stayed on strongly to prevail”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way67.8/100 rating
Alpine Wedding
5.80Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Damsel In Distress
Damsel In Distress heads this seven-furlong Curragh assignment narrowly ahead of Lady Patrona on our assessments, and her form entitles her to go well on ground expected to suit. Lady Patrona represents the stiffest threat, with Alpine Wedding and Tosca No Candis also capable of making things competitive if producing their best. The confidence is not sky-high, but Damsel In Distress holds a clear edge over most of this field and is taken to justify that standing. The selection is Damsel In Distress.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Alpine Wedding
W. J. Lee · P. Twomey · 2yo
Top-rated of 8
score 67.8 · +11.0 clear of next best (56.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong18d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight78strongP. Twomey: 4/13 winners last 14d (31%)
- Form20% weight61averageLast 6: 5-3-5-4-1
- Ratings50% weight60averageOR 90
MarketBest price 5.80 (Smarkets) · 3rd in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.99
High (7–8)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 1 | — | 34.5 | 13/8J·2.62 SP |
| 2 | 1 | 2yo · F · ch | 53541 | 90 | 67.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Colin Keane · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 5143 | 95 | 56.8 | 13/8J·2.62 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Keithen Kennedy · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 7 2yo · F · ch | 244137 | 85 | 55.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Ryan Moore · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 52 | — | 30.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 55517 | 92 | 54.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 2 2yo · F · ch | 007442 | 79 | 52.1 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 2yo · F · bt | 1 | — | 37.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Alpine Wedding) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:45 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Curracloe (USA) (2.62), 2. Alpine Wedding (IRE) (4.50), 3. Damsel In Distress (IRE) (2.62).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Curragh?
The winning time was 1m 28.30s.
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