15:54 Bellewstown

Ireland

Johnny Sullivan Memorial Maiden

5f · Flat · Soft To Heavy · 7 runners · €7,200 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
White Smoke (IRE)
Rory Cleary·M C Grassick
12/1·13.00
SP
2nd
Osterode (IRE)AI top pick · 50.6
W. J. Lee·W. McCreery·beaten 0.05 lengths
8/11F·1.73
SP
3rd
What's Enough (IRE)
Luke McAteer·Patrick T Foley·beaten 1.5 lengths
150/1·151.00
SP

Race time

1m 2.47s

Race time recorded.

In-running (White Smoke (IRE))

“made running towards the wide side - opened up a gap by halfway - nudged 2f out then urged hard - harried throughout final furlong - headed near the finish - rallied gamely to get back up on the line to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.73 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way26.7/100 rating

Famed Again

14.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Osterode

W. J. Lee · W. McCreery · 3yo

Top-rated of 7

score 50.6 · +19.7 clear of next best (30.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
26d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
57average
Last 6: 4-5-2
Ratings50% weight
45below average
OR 67 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
35below average
W. McCreery: 2/14 winners last 14d (14%)

MarketBest price 2.00 (Hollywood Bets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bellewstown 5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.08

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.77

High (6–7)

IV 1.12

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 30 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	7	White Smoke J: Rory Cleary · T: M C Grassick · draw 7 3yo · F · bb	904747	9-03	57	—	—	30.9	12/1·13.00 SP
2	5	Osterode J: W. J. Lee · T: W. McCreery · draw 1 3yo · F · bv	452	9-03	67	—	—	50.6	8/11F·1.73 SP
3	1	What's Enough J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 3 4yo · G · bhFT H	—	9-09	—	—	—	15.0	150/1·151.00 SP
4	2	Famed Again J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin · draw 2 4yo · F · b	50070	9-04	57	—	—	26.7	9/1·10.00 SP
5	3	Star Allure J: Colin Keane · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 5 4yo · F · btp	08005	9-04	37	—	—	24.6	28/1·29.00 SP
6	4	Dusty Rock J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 3yo · F · b	62	9-03	—	—	—	23.7	7/4·2.75 SP
7	6	Venerated J: Terry Casey(7) · T: J A Berry · draw 4 3yo · F · b	7900	9-03	—	—	—	7.5	300/1·301.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:54 Bellewstown on 30 September 2026?

White Smoke (IRE) won the 15:54 Bellewstown at SP 13.00. Ridden by Rory Cleary. Trained by M C Grassick.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:54 Bellewstown?

No — the AI top pick (Osterode) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 15:54 Bellewstown?

Top finishers: 1. White Smoke (IRE) (13.00), 2. Osterode (IRE) (1.73), 3. What's Enough (IRE) (151.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:54 Bellewstown?

The winning time was 1m 2.47s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org