15:55 Cork

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed)

1m2½f · Flat · Class 1 · Soft · 11 runners · €30,000 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: ActionDiffers from our pick

Action carries the highest rating in this twelve-runner Class 1 contest over ten furlongs on soft ground at Cork, narrowly ahead of Shaihaan and with a more meaningful edge over Caught U Sleeping and Summer Is Tomorrow, who round out the main dangers. Shaihaan will press hardest on these figures and could easily prove troublesome on the ground, while Caught U Sleeping and Summer Is Tomorrow are capable of outrunning their ratings if conditions suit, so Action will need to be at her best to hold them off. Confidence is modest here given the competitive nature of the field and the testing surface, but on the evidence available Action remains the one to be with, and the selection is Action.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Summer Is Tomorrow

J M Sheridan · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 12

score 65.5 · +1.0 clear of next best (64.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
16d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
69strong
OR 104 — above field median
Form20% weight
64average
Last 6: 6-9-2-2-1-4
Trainer20% weight
40below average
Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 11/69 winners last 14d (16%)

MarketBest price 5.70 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Action 8Shaihaan
Prominent(3)
2Back Straight 9Summer Is Tomorrow Magnum Cor
Mid-division(2)
10Caught U Sleeping 11Alphecca
Hold-up / closers(3)
6Manton Bay 7Mr Vettori 12Garden Party
Unknown(2)
3Fallacy 4Latin America

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 1m2½f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–4)

IV 0.79

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.21

High (9–12)

IV 1.04

Today: Summer Is Tomorrow (draw 7) and Magnum Cor (draw 8) get the bias; Back Straight (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 49 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
9	Summer Is TomorrowPick J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 3yo · C · bv	692214	9-05	104	—	—	65.5	11/2·6.72	5.7·5.70 Matchbook · -15% vs fair Compare 26 books ▾ Matchbook5.7·5.70Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70Smarkets5.6·5.60Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Star Sports9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Unibet4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Coral4/1·5.00 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50
—	Magnum Cor J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 8 3yo · C · b	41	9-05	95	—	—	64.5	11/1·12.09	12·12.00 Betfair Exchange Compare 19 books ▾ Betfair Exchange12·12.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 Unibet17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 10 Bet8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 BetMGM15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Matchbook5.2·5.20
6	Manton Bay J: W. J. Lee · T: David Marnane · draw 9 3yo · C · b	282125	9-05	97	—	—	63.2	7/1·8.06	7.4·7.40 Matchbook · -8% vs fair Compare 26 books ▾ Matchbook7.4·7.40Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40Smarkets7.2·7.20SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Unibet11/2·6.50 10 Bet5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Betfred5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Spreadex9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50
2	Back Straight J: Seamie Heffernan · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 4 3yo · C · bt	21	9-05	88	—	—	62.9	25/1·25.52	28·28.00 Smarkets · +10% vs fair Compare 26 books ▾ Smarkets28·28.00Matchbook26·26.00Betfair Exchange25·25.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Star Sports18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Coral18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00
4	Latin America J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 1 3yo · C · b	213	9-05	95	—	—	59.4	12/1·12.76	11·11.00 Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair Compare 26 books ▾ Betfair Exchange11·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00Matchbook11·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 William Hill17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00
1	Action J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 12 3yo · C · ch	207680	9-05	109	—	—	58.8	13/2·7.39	7.4·7.40 Betfair Exchange Compare 26 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40Matchbook7.4·7.40Smarkets7.2·7.20SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Betano9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Star Sports7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33
12	Garden Party J: R. P. Whelan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 5 3yo · F · b	2210	9-00	85	—	—	57.5	40/1·45.67	55·55.00 Matchbook · +20% vs fair Compare 26 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Betfair Exchange55·55.00Smarkets50·50.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Midnite33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Bet Victor33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Betano33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00
8	Shaihaan J: Chris Hayes · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 6 3yo · G · ch	14355	9-05	102	—	—	55.5	5/1·6.04	5·5.00 Smarkets · -17% vs fair Compare 26 books ▾ Smarkets5·5.00Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80Matchbook4.8·4.80Bet Victor7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50Betfred7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Paddy Power10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00
7	Mr Vettori J: Scott McCullagh · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 3 3yo · G · bp	12540	9-05	98	—	—	54.7	40/1·38.95	40·40.00 Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair Compare 26 books ▾ Betfair Exchange40·40.00Matchbook40·40.00Smarkets38·38.00Unibet33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.0010 Bet28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00
10	Caught U Sleeping J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 10 3yo · F · ch	812334	9-03	102	—	—	54.4	7/1·8.06	6.8·6.80 Betfair Exchange · -16% vs fair Compare 26 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80Smarkets6.8·6.80Matchbook6.8·6.80Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50BetWright11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Coral9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.5010 Bet9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50
11	Alphecca J: G. F. Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 2 3yo · F · bp	17982	9-00	91	—	—	51.5	28/1·30.89	34·34.00 Betfair Exchange · +10% vs fair Compare 26 books ▾ Betfair Exchange34·34.00Matchbook34·34.00Smarkets32·32.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Star Sports18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00BetMGM18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00
3	Fallacy J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 11 3yo · G · b	96831	9-05	84	—	—	51.4	40/1·45.67	65·65.00 Matchbook · +42% vs fair Compare 26 books ▾ Matchbook65·65.00Betfair Exchange65·65.00Smarkets60·60.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Betfred33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.0010 Bet28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–26 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org