Who won the 13:00 Bellewstown on 1 October 2026?
Sister Nancy (IRE) won the 13:00 Bellewstown at SP 3.00. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by Daniel McLoughlin.
13:00 Bellewstown
IrelandRacing TV Nursery Handicap
1m · Flat · Soft To Heavy · 5 runners · €7,200 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stSister Nancy (IRE)Ben Coen·Daniel McLoughlin2/1·3.00SP
- 2ndCromane (GB)AI top pick · 50.9G. F. Carroll·Joseph G Murphy·beaten 7 lengths7/4F·2.75SP
- 3rdDropping Dimes (IRE)Rory Cleary·Jarlath P Fahey·beaten 4.25 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 43.15s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sister Nancy (IRE))
“Settled at the back early - moved up along the inside to hit the front 2f out - pushed on after 1f out and pulled well away inside the last furlong to win comfortably”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way50.9/100 rating
Cromane
11.00Virgin Bet
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Cromane
Cromane gets the nod in a tight seven-runner contest over a mile on soft ground at Bellewstown, sharing the top rating of 76 with Violet Be Humble and so holding no more than a fine edge on our figures. Sister Nancy is only two pounds behind on 74 and Scarlet Dream, on 70, is another who could take advantage if the leaders falter, so this is far from a one-horse race. Still, Cromane has the merit to hold off that trio and is narrowly preferred to Violet Be Humble, so Cromane is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Cromane
G. F. Carroll · Joseph G Murphy · 2yo
Top-rated of 7
score 50.9 · +9.5 clear of next best (41.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 5-7-0-1
- Trainer20% weight35small sample (n=7)Joseph G Murphy: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 11.00 (Virgin Bet) · 3rd in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bellewstown 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.98
High (6–7)
IV 0.93
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 58 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 4 2yo · F · chh | 460 | 64 | 36.2 | 2/1·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: G. F. Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 5701 | 74 | 50.9 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Rory Cleary · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 099 | 51 | 24.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Nathan Crosse · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 900 | 64 | 37.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Sean Davis · draw 5 2yo · F · btpFT TP | 455 | 70 | 36.8 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: John S O'Donoghue · draw 6 2yo · F · bh | 503 | 73 | 41.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 7945 | 66 | 37.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:00 Bellewstown?
No — the AI top pick (Cromane) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 13:00 Bellewstown?
Top finishers: 1. Sister Nancy (IRE) (3.00), 2. Cromane (GB) (2.75), 3. Dropping Dimes (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 13:00 Bellewstown?
The winning time was 1m 43.15s.
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