Who won the 14:45 Bellewstown on 1 October 2026?
Duchess Of Kenli (FR) won the 14:45 Bellewstown at SP 7.00. Ridden by Julian Pietropaolo. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.
14:45 Bellewstown
IrelandIrish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap
1m · Flat · Soft To Heavy · 5 runners · €9,600 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stDuchess Of Kenli (FR)Julian Pietropaolo·Joseph Patrick O'Brien6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndExcuzio Joe (IRE)Robbie Colgan·Matthew J Smith·beaten 1.75 lengths28/1·29.00SP
- 3rdTachos (IRE)Reese Holohan·D K Weld·beaten 2.75 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
1m 42.68s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Duchess Of Kenli (FR))
“prominent in third at the midpoint - nudged 2f out and moved right - gap found between rivals over 1f out - hit front 100 yards out and stayed on strongly to win”
AI top-rated Save The Sixes (score 54.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way52.3/100 rating
Lady In Gold
5.50BetWright
Place portion settles at 2.13 · 1/4 odds · 2 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Excuzio Joe
Excuzio Joe looks the right one to side with at Bellewstown, rated 86 on our figures and a clear six pounds better than his nearest rival, which is a meaningful edge over this eight-furlong trip on soft ground. Star Strewn is the main danger on 80, with Tachos and Duchess Of Kenli both a pound behind her on 79 and Save The Sixes not far adrift, so the opposition is a tightly packed group rather than one standout. None of them can match the top-rated runner on our numbers, and Excuzio Joe is the pick to prove it.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Save The Sixes
W. J. Lee · Mrs J. Harrington · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 54.5 · +2.2 clear of next best (52.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong44d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight70strongLast 6: 8-1
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
- Trainer20% weight30weakMrs J. Harrington: 4/33 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketBest price 2.88 (BetTom) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bellewstown 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.98
High (6–7)
IV 0.93
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 58 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Julian Pietropaolo(7) · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 618 | 84 | 52.3 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 1 9yo · M · b | 29002 | 73 | 33.2 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: D K Weld · draw 4 5yo · M · btp | 905310 | 71 | 51.6 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: W. J. Lee · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 81 | 78 | 54.5 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: John McConnell · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 72071 | 69 | 42.8 | 15/8·2.88 SP |
| — | — | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 81 | 79 | 52.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Rory Cleary · T: C W J Farrell · draw 5 3yo · F · bt | 18971 | 75 | 44.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Bellewstown?
No — the AI top pick (Save The Sixes) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 14:45 Bellewstown?
Top finishers: 1. Duchess Of Kenli (FR) (7.00), 2. Excuzio Joe (IRE) (29.00), 3. Tachos (IRE) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:45 Bellewstown?
The winning time was 1m 42.68s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org