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Next · 42m14:30Gowran Park

13:42 Redcar

Racing Tv Ebf Stallions Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 7 runners · £6,480 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 49.9 · +18.3 clear of next best · best 5/4·2.30
Best value vs consensus
7.2·7.20 Betfair Exchange · +25% vs fair (consensus 5.78)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way30.6/100 rating
Crystal Dark
7.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Charted Course

Oisin Orr · Richard & Peter Fahey · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 49.9 · +18.3 clear of next best (31.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    63d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    58average
    OR 87 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 2-0-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    20weak
    Richard & Peter Fahey: 4/48 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketBest price 2.30 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.98
High (6–7)
IV 0.95

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 127 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 · combo 17/115 (15%)
2yo · C · bFirst after wind opClass dropOnly pairing
202
8749.95/4·2.312.3·2.30
Matchbook
Compare 29 books ▾
5
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Boughey · draw 1 · combo 3/22 (14%)
2yo · C · bClass drop
2
—31.63/1·4.043.8·3.80
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
4
J: Sam James · T: Edward Bethell · draw 4 · combo 1/5 (20%)
2yo · G · bOnly pairing
2
—30.65/1·5.787.2·7.20
Betfair Exchange · +25% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
1
J: Shane Gray · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 · combo 4/16 (25%)
2yo · C · chClass dropOnly pairing
8
—22.09/1·9.829.2·9.20
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
6
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 3 · combo 7/97 (7%)
2yo · C · chhFT HOnly rideOnly runner
——17.0100/1·93.56150·150.00
Matchbook · +60% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
2
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2 · combo 7/120 (6%)
2yo · C · bClass dropOnly pairing
9
—15.780/1·77.3990·90.00
Matchbook · +16% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
7
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 5 · combo 14/147 (10%)
2yo · C · bClass drop
——15.050/1·47.3665·65.00
Betfair Exchange · +37% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 16% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing Tv Ebf Stallions Novice Stakes (gbb Race)?

The Racing Tv Ebf Stallions Novice Stakes (gbb Race) is off at 13:42 on 3 October 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:42 Redcar?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:42 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:42 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Charted Course (score 49.9, best price 2.30). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:42 Redcar?

The market favourite is Charted Course at a best price of 2.30.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org