15:55 Redcar

Off in 1h 36m

John Smith's Ebf Stallions Guisborough Stakes (Listed Race)

7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 8 runners · £34,026 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Witness Stand

No. 7 · score 65.1 · +0.2 clear of next best · best 13/2·7.60

Best value vs consensus

Oolong Poobong

12·12.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair (consensus 9.76)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way65.1/100 rating

Witness Stand

7.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Witness StandAgrees with our pick

Witness Stand gets the vote at Redcar, with a rating of 110 that leaves him narrowly ahead of a tightly packed field over this 7f on good ground. The margin is slim, but he looks the most capable of this group at the weights and has the best figure on our numbers. Audience is only 2 lb behind and is the chief danger, while Elarak and Myal, both rated 107, are close enough to make this a competitive contest. Witness Stand can edge it and is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Witness Stand

Paul Mulrennan · Dr Richard Newland · 5yo

Top-rated of 8

score 65.1 · +0.2 clear of next best (64.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
74strong
OR 111 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
55small sample (n=9)
Dr Richard Newland: 2/9 winners last 14d (22%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
36below average
Last 6: 8-2-6-3-6-5

MarketBest price 7.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Audience 7Witness Stand
Prominent(2)
2Elarak 8Oolong Poobong
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(3)
4Sondad 5Vafortino 6Valvano
Unknown(1)
3Myal

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.06

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.98

High (7–8)

IV 0.95

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 127 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
7	Witness StandPick J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Dr Richard Newland · draw 7 5yo · G · btpOnly runner	826365	9-02	111	—	—	65.1	6/1·6.89	7.6·7.60 Betfair Exchange · +10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.6·7.60Smarkets7.4·7.40Matchbook7.4·7.40SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Ladbrokes5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Betfred9/2·5.50
6	Valvano J: Oisin Orr · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2 5yo · G · chDOnly runner	03361	9-02	101	—	—	64.9	11/2·6.31	5.5·5.50 Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50Matchbook5.5·5.50Betano9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Smarkets5.5·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Bet3659/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 BetWright4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50
5	Vafortino J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 8 8yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	078932	9-02	101	—	—	64.3	10/1·11.48	11·11.00 Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange11·11.00Smarkets11·11.00Matchbook11·11.00Betano9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 William Hill8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00
2	Elarak J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Charles Hills · draw 6 4yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	442323	9-02	105	—	—	60.4	11/2·6.31	6·6.00 Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6·6.00Smarkets6·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00Matchbook6·6.00SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 BetTom9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50BetWright9/2·5.50 Betfred4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 10 Bet10/3·4.33
1	Audience J: Jason Hart · T: David O'Meara · draw 4 7yo · G · bhpOnly pairing	923325	9-02	105	—	—	58.0	9/1·10.33	9.8·9.80 Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80Matchbook9.8·9.80Smarkets9.6·9.60Paddy Power17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Bet Victor17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00
4	Sondad J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 1 5yo · G · bvD	191714	9-02	108	—	—	57.8	4/1·5.17	5·5.00 Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5·5.00Smarkets5·5.00Matchbook5·5.00Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50BetMGM7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Betano10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33
8	Oolong Poobong J: Connor Beasley · T: Edward Bethell · draw 5 4yo · F · btDOnly pairing	45031	8-11	92	—	—	56.9	9/1·9.76	12·12.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook12·12.00Betfair Exchange12·12.00Smarkets11.5·11.50SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Unibet17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Bet36517/2·9.50 Midnite8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 7Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50BetTom15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Coral15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 10 Bet7/1·8.00
3	Myal J: David Allan · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 3 5yo · G · bOnly runner	512774	9-02	104	—	—	52.9	16/1·17.22	15.5·15.50 Matchbook · -10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook15.5·15.50Smarkets15·15.00William Hill14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Unibet14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange15·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Midnite14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 15% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the John Smith's Ebf Stallions Guisborough Stakes (Listed Race)?

The John Smith's Ebf Stallions Guisborough Stakes (Listed Race) is off at 15:55 on 3 October 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:55 Redcar?

7f, Class 1, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:55 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:55 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Witness Stand (score 65.1, best price 7.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:55 Redcar?

The market favourite is Sondad at a best price of 5.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Witness Stand.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org