17:40 Redcar

Watch Race Replays On Racingtv.com Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 13 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (13 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Accrual

No. 4 · score 55.3 · +6.3 clear of next best · best 10/1·11.50

Best value vs consensus

Sugar Hill Babe

55·55.00 Matchbook · +24% vs fair (consensus 44.39)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way55.3/100 rating

Accrual

11.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Ziggy's TritonDiffers from our pick

Ziggy's Triton heads our ratings on 93, a full seven pounds clear of Mo of Cairo and Dolos Dream on 86, and that margin is hard to ignore in a competitive 13-runner sprint at Redcar. Over five furlongs on good ground, a quality edge of that size should tell against rivals who look closely matched with one another. Mo of Cairo and Dolos Dream are the chief dangers, with Tees Spirit another to respect, but none of them offers the same ceiling. Ziggy's Triton is the confident selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Accrual

William Pyle · Ruth Carr · 5yo

Top-rated of 13

score 55.3 · +6.3 clear of next best (49.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
7d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
58average
Last 6: 5-1-3-7-5-1
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 80
Trainer20% weight
50average
Ruth Carr: 7/35 winners last 14d (20%)

MarketBest price 11.50 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 5 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(5)
3Dolos Dream 4Accrual 10Angel Numbers 11Curious Rover 12Our Absent Friends
Prominent(1)
2Sugar Hill Babe
Mid-division(4)
1Ziggy's Triton 5Al Hussar 8Kinetic Force 9Sports Coach
Hold-up / closers(2)
7Mo of Cairo 13Emperor Caradoc
Unknown(1)
6Tees Spirit

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.02

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.98

High (10–13)

IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	AccrualPick J: William Pyle · T: Ruth Carr · draw 12 · combo 3/24 (13%) 5yo · G · bDGoing 2/4Only pairing	513751	9-04	80	—	—	55.3	11/1·11.75	11.5·11.50 Matchbook · -2% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50Betfair Exchange11·11.00Smarkets11·11.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Midnite17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00BetWright8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00Betano8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Bet36515/2·8.50
8	Kinetic Force J: Joanna Mason · T: Ruth Carr · draw 4 · combo 4/31 (13%) 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	431077	9-02	78	—	—	49.0	8/1·9.14	9·9.00 Matchbook Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook9·9.00Betfair Exchange9·9.00Smarkets8.8·8.80SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Betfred13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 BetTom6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00BetMGM6/1·7.00 Unibet11/2·6.50
7	Mo of Cairo J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 3 · combo 9/107 (8%) 3yo · C · grOnly pairing	664952	9-02	78	—	—	49.0	3/1·3.92	3.45·3.45 Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.45·3.45Matchbook3.45·3.45Smarkets3.4·3.40SmarketsSBK9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25Hollywood Bets2/1·3.00William Hill2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 Betano2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 Bet Victor2/1·3.00 Bet3652/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00Paddy Power2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 7Bet2/1·3.00 BetMGM2/1·3.00 10 Bet15/8·2.88 Betfred15/8·2.88 Ladbrokes15/8·2.87
1	Ziggy's Triton J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 2 · combo 8/53 (15%) 4yo · G · bpD	710092	9-11	87	—	—	47.8	7/1·7.83	6.8·6.80 Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.6·6.60Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.507Bet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50
9	Sports Coach J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 10 · combo 2/68 (3%) 5yo · G · bOnly runner	982240	9-00	76	—	—	46.9	12/1·13.06	14·14.00 Betfair Exchange · +7% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange14·14.00Matchbook14·14.00Smarkets14·14.00SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Betano17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50
3	Dolos Dream J: Jason Hart · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 11 · combo 5/48 (10%) 3yo · F · grClass dropDGoing 1/2Only runner	31529	9-04	80	—	—	46.4	15/2·8.49	8·8.00 Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8·8.00Matchbook8·8.00Smarkets7.8·7.80SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Betano11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Unibet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00
11	Curious Rover J: Oisin Orr · T: Katie Scott · draw 13 5yo · G · bDOnly runner	447140	8-13	75	—	—	46.2	40/1·37.87	55·55.00 Matchbook · +45% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Smarkets50·50.00Betfair Exchange48·48.00 SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Bet36525/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00
10	Angel Numbers J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) · T: Ruth Carr · draw 8 3yo · F · grDGoing 1/6Only pairing	110790	9-00	76	—	—	46.0	66/1·66.59	110·110.00 Matchbook · +65% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook110·110.00Smarkets100·100.00SmarketsSBK80/1·81.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00Hollywood Bets50/1·51.00SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 10 Bet50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00William Hill50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange40·40.00
5	Al Hussar J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 9 · combo 8/89 (9%) 4yo · G · bbClass drop1lb below win markDGoing 1/3Only rideOnly runner	164750	9-03	79	—	—	45.5	14/1·15.67	17·17.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook17·17.00Smarkets16.5·16.50SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Betfair Exchange16·16.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00BetMGM12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00
2	Sugar Hill Babe J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 1 6yo · M · bDGoing 1/2Only runner	69216	9-10	86	—	—	45.4	40/1·44.39	55·55.00 Matchbook · +24% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Betfair Exchange50·50.00Smarkets50·50.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00William Hill33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00
12	Our Absent Friends J: Connor Beasley · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 5 8yo · G · chtDGoing 1/6Only pairing	915339	8-10	72	—	—	43.8	25/1·24.81	27·27.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00Betfair Exchange26·26.00Smarkets26·26.00Bet36520/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Unibet16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00
6	Tees Spirit J: Jack Garritty · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 7 · combo 1/19 (5%) 8yo · G · brOnly rideOnly runner	08009	9-03	79	—	—	34.0	66/1·66.59	180·180.00 Smarkets · +170% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets180·180.00Matchbook150·150.00SmarketsSBK100/1·101.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00William Hill50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 10 Bet50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00Hollywood Bets50/1·51.00Star Sports50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange44·44.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00
13	Emperor Caradoc J: James Sullivan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 6 7yo · G · bOnly runner	244008	8-06	68	—	—	33.1	22/1·22.20	24·24.00 Matchbook · +8% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook24·24.00Betfair Exchange23·23.00Smarkets23·23.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Betfred14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00William Hill14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Watch Race Replays On Racingtv.com Handicap Stakes?

The Watch Race Replays On Racingtv.com Handicap Stakes is off at 17:40 on 3 October 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:40 Redcar?

5f, Class 4, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:40 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:40 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Accrual (score 55.3, best price 11.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:40 Redcar?

The market favourite is Mo of Cairo at a best price of 3.45. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Accrual.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org