Who won the 16:19 Down Royal on 28 September 2026?
No More Hiding (GB) won the 16:19 Down Royal at SP 3.75. Ridden by W. J. Lee. Trained by A Oliver.
16:19 Down Royal
IrelandPravha Handicap (Div I)
1m3f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 14 runners · €6,000 · Monday, 28 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stNo More Hiding (GB)W. J. Lee·A Oliver11/4F·3.75SP
- 2ndAiteall (IRE)J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 1.25 lengths18/1·19.00SP
- 3rdAutocrat (IRE)Julian Pietropaolo·P Sweeney·beaten 0.2 lengths15/2·8.50SP
Race time
2m 25.89s
Race time recorded.
In-running (No More Hiding (GB))
“Settled just behind the front group early - midfield turn at halfway - smooth progress before hitting the front entering the straight - driven out to hold on strongly to the finish”
AI top-rated Tassarolo (score 43.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way43.1/100 rating
Tassarolo
8.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Tassarolo
Tassarolo comes into this eleven-furlong contest at Down Royal on a progressive profile and with a fitness edge over some of the opposition, which makes a compelling case for siding with her despite sitting three pounds below the top-rated Chapel Island and level with Limestone Red. Chapel Island holds the highest rating in the field and must be respected, while Limestone Red and No More Hiding are dangerous rivals who could each make their presence felt on good ground. The confidence here is modest, and punters should be aware this is a competitive fourteen-runner heat where the principals are closely matched. On balance, Tassarolo's upward trajectory and readiness to run give her the edge, and she is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tassarolo
Mel Sheridan(7) · Denis Gerard Hogan · 5yo
Top-rated of 14
score 43.1 · +1.3 clear of next best (41.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong24d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 58 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight35below averageDenis Gerard Hogan: 3/22 winners last 14d (14%)
- Form20% weight34weakLast 6: 5-8-3-7-5-4
MarketBest price 8.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Down Royal 1m3f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.52
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.98
High (11–14)
IV 1.52
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 27 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3yo · F · b | 95852 | 58 | 41.4 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2 3yo · G · btpFT TP | 05008 | 51 | 33.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 3 | 12 | J: Julian Pietropaolo(7) · T: P Sweeney · draw 3 6yo · G · btb | 000986 | 37 | 21.2 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Mel Sheridan(7) · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 7 5yo · G · btp | 583754 | 58 | 43.1 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: Mrs Denise Foster · draw 10 4yo · G · bhFT H | 0996 | 44 | 26.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: J S Bolger · draw 12 3yo · F · ch | 800 | 53 | 22.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: R. P. Whelan · T: Tracey Collins · draw 8 6yo · G · chp | 488235 | 46 | 33.8 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: H Rogers · draw 6 3yo · G · bp | 060091 | 54 | 41.4 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 00030 | 50 | 36.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 13 | J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Thomas Cleary · draw 11 4yo · F · b | 706008 | 38 | 34.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 11 | 3 | J: Wesley Joyce · T: A Oliver · draw 9 3yo · C · brt | 544387 | 55 | 35.4 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 12 | 10 | J: Rory Cleary · T: Brendan W Duke · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 5509 | 48 | 41.8 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 13 | 14 | J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Seamus Fahey · draw 5 8yo · G · bb | 798007 | 34 | 39.7 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 14 | 11 | J: Chris Hayes · T: John McConnell · draw 14 5yo · M · b | 9050 | 40 | 22.3 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:19 Down Royal?
No — the AI top pick (Tassarolo) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:19 Down Royal?
Top finishers: 1. No More Hiding (GB) (3.75), 2. Aiteall (IRE) (19.00), 3. Autocrat (IRE) (8.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:19 Down Royal?
The winning time was 2m 25.89s.
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