Who won the 19:00 Dundalk (AW) on 2 October 2026?
Snapequus (IRE) won the 19:00 Dundalk (AW) at SP 3.25. Ridden by J M Sheridan. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.
19:00 Dundalk (AW)
IrelandMichael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap
7f · Flat · Standard · 9 runners · €7,200 · Friday, 2 October 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stSnapequus (IRE)J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien9/4F·3.25SP
- 2ndTio Joao (IRE)AI top pick · 43.2Patrick McGettigan·Robson De Aguiar·beaten .5 lengths10/1·11.00SP
- 3rdNew Mexico (GB)Rowan Scott·Robson De Aguiar·beaten .75 lengths13/2·7.50SP
Race time
1m 28.54s
Race time recorded.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way43.2/100 rating
Tio Joao
10.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Someday Somewhere
Someday Somewhere gets the nod at Dundalk, topping our ratings on 75 and holding a three-pound edge over Scarlet Dream, which makes her narrowly ahead rather than dominant. Scarlet Dream is the chief danger on 72, while New Mexico and Tio Joao, both on 70, are close enough to take advantage if the selection fails to repeat her best over this 7f trip. With the rest of the nine-runner field rated further back, Someday Somewhere looks the most solid option on the all-weather and is the pick.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tio Joao
Patrick McGettigan(5) · Robson De Aguiar · 2yo
Top-rated of 9
score 43.2 · +2.8 clear of next best (40.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong11d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight33weakRobson De Aguiar: 2/15 winners last 14d (13%)
- Form20% weight23weakLast 6: 6-7-5
MarketBest price 10.50 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 7f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.11).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.04
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.11
High (7–9)
IV 0.86
Today: Snapequus (draw 4) and New Mexico (draw 5) get the bias; Tio Joao (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 440 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 007 | 61 | 40.3 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 675 | 75 | 43.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 5 2yo · G · b | 5679 | 61 | 39.6 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: James Ryan · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 6 2yo · G · bb | 800 | 56 | 27.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Jessica Maye(7) · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 8003 | 53 | 39.2 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 34457 | 67 | 38.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 7945 | 66 | 38.1 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 3 2yo · G · chpFT P | 000 | 63 | 37.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 2 2yo · F · bh | 59060 | 55 | 40.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Dundalk (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Tio Joao) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 19:00 Dundalk (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Snapequus (IRE) (3.25), 2. Tio Joao (IRE) (11.00), 3. New Mexico (GB) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 19:00 Dundalk (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 28.54s.
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