19:30 Southwell (AW)

Bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners · £4,397 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (13 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

New Image

No. 1 · score 52.6 · +1.0 clear of next best · best 2/1·3.00

Best value vs consensus

Rascal Recknell

44·44.00 Matchbook · +13% vs fair (consensus 39.09)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way51.6/100 rating

Horace Wallace

6.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: New ImageAgrees with our pick

New Image makes plenty of appeal in this Southwell sprint, sharing the top rating with Blue Orbit at 84 but edging that rival on a progressive profile, a fitness edge and form the clock backs up. Those are the qualities we want in a competitive 13-runner Class 5 on the all-weather, and he looks the one to be with. Blue Orbit is the chief danger on level ratings, while Kats Bob (80) and Rascal Recknell (79) are the next best and sit only a few pounds behind. New Image is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

New Image

Darragh Keenan · Michael Herrington · 6yo

Top-rated of 13

score 52.6 · +1.0 clear of next best (51.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
7d since last run (quick turnaround)
Trainer20% weight
58average
Michael Herrington: 3/13 winners last 14d (23%)
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
37below average
Last 6: 7-0-0-5-8-1

MarketBest price 3.00 (SmarketsSBK) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
9Jenever
Prominent(2)
3Slay Queen 5Rascal Recknell
Mid-division(3)
4Hundred Caps 8Inca Heights 10Roaring Ralph
Hold-up / closers(5)
1New Image 2Kats Bob 7Horace Wallace 12Beauzon 13Lazzar
Unknown(2)
6Blue Orbit 11Another Investment

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.09

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.96

High (10–13)

IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	New ImagePick J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Herrington · draw 10 · combo 3/5 (60%) 6yo · G · bC&DGoing 1/2Only runner	700581	10-03	80	—	—	52.6	5/2·3.55	2/1·3.00 SmarketsSBK · -15% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK2/1·3.00 Betfair Exchange3·3.00Smarkets3·3.00Matchbook3·3.00Coral7/4·2.75 William Hill7/4·2.75 Spreadex7/4·2.75 Unibet7/4·2.75 Quinn Bet7/4·2.75 SportingIndex7/4·2.75 Betfred7/4·2.75 Ladbrokes7/4·2.75 Star Sports13/8·2.63Virgin Bet13/8·2.63Bet36513/8·2.63 Dragon Bet13/8·2.63 BetWright13/8·2.63 LiveScore Bet13/8·2.63 10 Bet13/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63 7Bet13/8·2.63Hollywood Bets13/8·2.63BetTom13/8·2.63Betfair Sportsbook13/8·2.63Paddy Power13/8·2.63 Betano6/4·2.50 BetMGM6/4·2.50 Bet Victor6/4·2.50
7	Horace Wallace J: David Nolan · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 11 · combo 3/15 (20%) 3yo · G · brvDGoing 2/2Only pairing	704411	9-08	72	—	—	51.6	5/1·6.07	6.6·6.60 Matchbook · +9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook6.6·6.60Smarkets6.6·6.60Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 BetWright4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 7Bet7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50William Hill7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Coral10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 BetMGM16/5·4.20 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00
11	Another Investment J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 8 · combo 9/121 (7%) 7yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	222650	9-05	68	—	—	50.8	20/1·20.22	21·21.00 Matchbook · +4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00Smarkets19.5·19.50SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 William Hill15/1·16.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Midnite14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betano12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00
5	Rascal Recknell J: Andrew Mullen · T: Michael Appleby · draw 1 · combo 0/6 (0%) 5yo · G · bClass drop	12008	9-09	72	—	—	49.1	40/1·39.09	44·44.00 Matchbook · +13% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook44·44.00Smarkets40·40.00Betfair Exchange36·36.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Star Sports28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Paddy Power28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00
2	Kats Bob J: Billy Garritty · T: Ruth Carr · draw 13 8yo · G · chOnly pairing	722064	9-11	74	—	—	49.0	7/1·8.09	7.4·7.40 Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40Matchbook7.4·7.40Smarkets7.2·7.20SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Unibet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Star Sports5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00BetWright5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 BetMGM9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50
13	Lazzar J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Charlie Wallis · draw 7 · combo 1/5 (20%) 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	424645	8-12	61	—	—	48.2	40/1·45.83	48·48.00 Matchbook · +5% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook48·48.00Smarkets44·44.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange40·40.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00
9	Jenever J: Jack Doughty · T: Jessica Macey · draw 9 7yo · G · bpClass dropOnly runner	783429	9-08	71	—	—	46.5	10/1·10.78	9·9.00 Matchbook · -16% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook9·9.00Smarkets8.8·8.80Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80 Bet3657/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Coral7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 BetTom13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50BetWright13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Betano6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00
4	Hundred Caps J: Dylan Hogan · T: Julie Camacho · draw 6 · combo 1/8 (13%) 4yo · G · chb	557435	9-10	73	—	—	43.9	11/1·12.13	11·11.00 Smarkets · -9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets11·11.00Matchbook11·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Star Sports17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Unibet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Midnite8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Betano7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00
8	Inca Heights J: Rob Hornby · T: Clive Cox · draw 4 · combo 0/5 (0%) 3yo · G · bpClass dropOnly runner	00065	9-08	72	—	—	42.6	33/1·35.05	36·36.00 Matchbook · +3% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook36·36.00Coral33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00Smarkets32·32.00Betfair Exchange32·32.00 SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00BetWright22/1·23.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00
6	Blue Orbit J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Tom Ward · draw 2 3yo · G · bhFT HOnly runner	240546	9-08	72	—	—	40.5	14/1·14.83	16·16.00 Betfair Exchange · +8% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange16·16.00Matchbook15.5·15.50Smarkets15.5·15.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00BetWright10/1·11.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50
3	Slay Queen J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 12 · combo 10/107 (9%) 3yo · F · bClass drop	50007	9-11	75	—	—	39.9	40/1·45.83	65·65.00 Matchbook · +42% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook65·65.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook35/1·36.007Bet35/1·36.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange32·32.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00
10	Roaring Ralph J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 · combo 5/52 (10%) 6yo · G · bp2lb below win mark	130750	9-08	71	—	—	37.8	33/1·35.05	46·46.00 Matchbook · +31% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook46·46.00Smarkets40·40.00Betfair Exchange36·36.00 Coral33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.0010 Bet25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00
12	Beauzon J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Ian Williams · draw 5 · combo 7/49 (14%) 7yo · G · bOnly runner	006000	9-04	67	—	—	34.9	80/1·90.31	190·190.00 Matchbook · +110% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook190·190.00Smarkets180·180.00SmarketsSBK150/1·151.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 Bet36580/1·81.00 7Bet70/1·71.00 Coral66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets66/1·67.00Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 10 Bet66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 BetWright60/1·61.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00BetMGM40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange36·36.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 35% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap Stakes?

The Bettingsites.co.uk Every Bookie Compared Handicap Stakes is off at 19:30 on 3 October 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is New Image (score 52.6, best price 3.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

The market favourite is New Image at a best price of 3.00.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org