14:30 Curragh

Ireland

Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed)

7f · Flat · Class 1 · Soft · 10 runners · €30,000 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Loughrea

No. 4 · score 72.3 · +10.3 clear of next best · best 15/8·2.82

Best value vs consensus

King Cuan

5.9·5.90 Smarkets · +8% vs fair (consensus 5.45)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way62.0/100 rating

Sindagan

13.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Big GosseyDiffers from our pick

Big Gossey is our selection, and he can turn the tables on King Cuan, who is only four pounds better on our figures, thanks to a progressive profile and a fitness edge that should count in a Class 1 contest over seven furlongs on soft ground. He is the second-best runner on our ratings at 108, narrowly ahead of Princess Child on 106 and a pair on 102, so he is well placed to take advantage if the top-rated runner is anything less than at his best. King Cuan is the chief danger on pure ability, while Princess Child and Wannabe Royal also have the quality to make this a competitive finish. Big Gossey's improvement and sharpness make him the one to side with.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Loughrea

Andrew Slattery · A. Slattery · 4yo

Top-rated of 10

score 72.3 · +10.3 clear of next best (62.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
92very strong
Last 6: 5-2-1-1-1
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
36d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
69strong
OR 103
Trainer20% weight
55average
A. Slattery: 7/32 winners last 14d (22%)

MarketBest price 2.82 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(4)
4Loughrea 5Wannabe Royal 8Unauthorized 9Carolina Jetstream
Prominent(2)
1Big Gossey 2Dmaniac
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(3)
6Lewis Carroll 7Sindagan 10Princess Child
Unknown(1)
3King Cuan

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.96

Mid (5–7)

IV 0.99

High (8–10)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	LoughreaPick J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 5 4yo · G · bC	52111	9-07	103	—	—	72.3	9/4·3.18	2.82·2.82 Smarkets · -11% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets2.82·2.82Betfair Exchange2.82·2.82Matchbook2.82·2.82LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75 Boyle Sports7/4·2.75 Bet3657/4·2.75Hollywood Bets13/8·2.63Ladbrokes13/8·2.63 Dragon Bet13/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63Virgin Bet13/8·2.63Betfair Sportsbook13/8·2.63Paddy Power13/8·2.63 Betano13/8·2.63 10 Bet13/8·2.63 BetTom13/8·2.63 Quinn Bet13/8·2.63 Unibet13/8·2.63 Bet Victor13/8·2.63 Betfred13/8·2.63 BetWright13/8·2.63 Coral13/8·2.63 SportingIndex13/8·2.63 Spreadex13/8·2.63 Star Sports13/8·2.63 BetMGM13/8·2.63 William Hill13/8·2.63 SmarketsSBK13/8·2.62
7	Sindagan J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 4 3yo · G · b1lb below win markD	232163	9-05	95	—	—	62.0	14/1·14.53	12/1·13.00 Bet365 · -10% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36512/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00Matchbook13·13.00Smarkets12.5·12.50Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00BetTom11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00
3	King Cuan J: W. J. Lee · T: P. Twomey · draw 7 5yo · G · b	32034	9-07	105	—	—	61.1	9/2·5.45	5.9·5.90 Smarkets · +8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets5.9·5.90Matchbook5.8·5.80Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50BetMGM7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50BetWright7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 Betano3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00
6	Lewis Carroll J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 3 3yo · C · b	914	9-05	85	—	—	56.2	28/1·31.48	30·30.00 Matchbook · -5% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook30·30.00Betfair Exchange28·28.00Smarkets28·28.00Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00William Hill25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Betano22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Bet36520/1·21.00
10	Princess Child J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 9 5yo · M · bt	250066	9-04	99	—	—	54.9	14/1·14.53	14·14.00 Smarkets · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets14·14.00Matchbook14·14.00Betfair Exchange13·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00William Hill11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00
8	Unauthorized J: Reese Holohan · T: Aidan Melia · draw 10 3yo · C · bhDOnly runner	17182	9-05	86	—	—	54.1	22/1·23.01	24·24.00 Matchbook · +4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook24·24.00Smarkets22·22.00Bet36520/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00BetMGM18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00
9	Carolina Jetstream J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 6 4yo · F · b	026828	9-04	103	—	—	54.1	10/1·10.90	11.5·11.50 Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50Matchbook11.5·11.50Smarkets11·11.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 William Hill15/2·8.50 Betano7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00
5	Wannabe Royal J: R. P. Whelan · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 8 4yo · F · bOnly pairing	581740	9-07	100	—	—	52.4	28/1·27.85	28·28.00 Matchbook Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Betfair Exchange26·26.00Smarkets26·26.00LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00Unibet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00William Hill22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00BetTom22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00
1	Big Gossey J: Robert Whearty · T: Charles O'Brien · draw 1 9yo · G · baybrownt3lb below win markCOnly runner	125902	9-10	104	—	—	49.6	13/2·7.27	7.4·7.40 Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40Matchbook7.4·7.40Smarkets7.2·7.2010 Bet11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 BetMGM9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Betano9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50
2	Dmaniac J: Chris Hayes · T: Martin Hassett · draw 2 4yo · G · bOnly runner	15204	9-07	85	—	—	43.6	40/1·41.17	60·60.00 Matchbook · +46% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook60·60.00Smarkets55·55.00Betfair Exchange50·50.00 SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Unibet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00Paddy Power30/1·31.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 21% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed)?

The Coolmore Sioux Nation Concorde Stakes (Listed) is off at 14:30 on 4 October 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:30 Curragh?

7f, Class 1, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:30 Curragh?

Going is reported as Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:30 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Loughrea (score 72.3, best price 2.82). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:30 Curragh?

The market favourite is Loughrea at a best price of 2.82.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org