15:20 Killarney

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed)

1m3f · Flat · Class 1 · Yielding To Soft · 11 runners · €30,000 · Monday, 5 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (11 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Magnum Cor

No. 4 · score 64.8 · +1.6 clear of next best · best 4/1·5.00

Best value vs consensus

Alphecca

44·44.00 Smarkets · +17% vs fair (consensus 37.50)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way64.8/100 rating

Magnum Cor

5.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: ActionDiffers from our pick

Action heads our ratings on 113, a clear eight pounds better than Shaihaan on 105, and that gap is the main reason he gets the vote in a Class 1 contest over 11 furlongs on soft ground. Shaihaan is the chief danger as the next best on figures, while Caught U Sleeping (101) and Manton Bay (100) sit close enough behind to make life awkward if Action fails to reproduce his best. The rest look to have plenty to find on our figures, though confidence is only low given the testing conditions and the competitive group just behind. Even so, the strongest overall case is for Action.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Magnum Cor

J M Sheridan · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 64.8 · +1.6 clear of next best (63.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
91very strong
Last 6: 4-1-1
Freshness10% weight
70strong
4d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
63average
OR 95
Trainer20% weight
40below average
Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 11/68 winners last 14d (16%)

MarketBest price 5.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Action 7Shaihaan
Prominent(2)
2Back Straight 4Magnum Cor
Mid-division(2)
8Caught U Sleeping 9Alphecca
Hold-up / closers(4)
5Manton Bay 6Mr Vettori 10Garden Party 11Millhone
Unknown(1)
3Latin America

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Killarney 1m3f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.22

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.21

High (9–11)

IV 0.56

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 27 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	Magnum CorPick J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 9 · combo 27/161 (17%) 3yo · C · bpFT POn last winning mark	411	9-05	95	—	—	64.8	9/2·5.60	5·5.00 Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5·5.00Smarkets5·5.00Matchbook5·5.00SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.35Virgin Bet10/3·4.35BetWright10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 BetMGM16/5·4.20 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00
5	Manton Bay J: W. J. Lee · T: David Marnane · draw 8 3yo · C · bCOnly pairing	282125	9-05	97	—	—	63.2	15/2·8.41	6/1·7.00 Paddy Power · -17% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Paddy Power6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Matchbook7·7.00Smarkets6.6·6.60Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Unibet11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Bet36511/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 Star Sports5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00
2	Back Straight J: Seamie Heffernan · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 2 · combo 2/8 (25%) 3yo · C · btOnly pairing	21	9-05	88	—	—	62.4	16/1·16.81	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · +10% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange17·17.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00William Hill14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betano12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00
3	Latin America J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 3 · combo 21/190 (11%) 3yo · G · b	213	9-05	95	—	—	60.9	12/1·12.93	11.5·11.50 Matchbook · -11% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50Paddy Power10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Bet36517/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00
8	Caught U Sleeping J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 11 · combo 2/48 (4%) 3yo · F · ch	812334	9-03	102	—	—	57.9	11/1·12.28	12·12.00 Smarkets · -2% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets12·12.00Matchbook12·12.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Coral9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange10·10.00 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50BetTom17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 BetWright17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00
1	Action J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 1 · combo 27/156 (17%) 3yo · C · ch	207680	9-05	109	—	—	57.3	7/2·4.53	3.85·3.85 Smarkets · -15% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets3.85·3.85Betfair Exchange3.8·3.80 Coral11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75Matchbook3.7·3.70Betfred5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50 William Hill5/2·3.50 Paddy Power5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50Hollywood Bets5/2·3.50Midnite5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50Bet Victor5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 BetMGM12/5·3.40 Star Sports9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25
10	Garden Party J: Gavin Ryan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 5 3yo · F · bDOnly pairing	2210	9-00	85	—	—	56.0	40/1·43.97	95·95.00 Matchbook · +116% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook95·95.00Smarkets95·95.00SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Star Sports28/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20
6	Mr Vettori J: Scott McCullagh · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 7 · combo 1/28 (4%) 3yo · G · bp	12540	9-05	98	—	—	50.7	18/1·19.40	36·36.00 Matchbook · +86% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook36·36.00Smarkets34·34.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange22·22.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00William Hill14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Betfred14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00
7	Shaihaan J: Chris Hayes · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 10 · combo 1/28 (4%) 3yo · G · chOnly pairing	14355	9-05	102	—	—	49.0	11/2·6.47	6·6.00 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook6·6.00Smarkets5.8·5.80SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Star Sports7/2·4.50
9	Alphecca J: G. F. Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 6 · combo 3/42 (7%) 3yo · F · bp	17982	9-00	91	—	—	48.0	33/1·37.50	44·44.00 Smarkets · +17% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets44·44.00Matchbook44·44.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Bet36528/1·29.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00
11	Millhone J: Rory Mulligan · T: Charles Weld · draw 4 · combo 1/18 (6%) 3yo · F · chbOnly runner	922321	9-00	72	—	—	48.0	150/1·130.61	270·270.00 Matchbook · +107% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook270·270.00Smarkets210·210.00SmarketsSBK125/1·126.00 Bet365100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00Hollywood Bets100/1·101.00Bet Victor80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25–27 bookmakers per horse with the 29% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed)?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed) is off at 15:20 on 5 October 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:20 Killarney?

1m3f, Class 1, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:20 Killarney?

Going is reported as Yielding To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:20 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Magnum Cor (score 64.8, best price 5.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:20 Killarney?

The market favourite is Action at a best price of 3.85. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Magnum Cor.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org