14:15 Navan

Ireland

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6f · Flat · Yielding · 13 runners · €7,200 · Wednesday, 7 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th

1st
Lilli's Angel (IRE)
Ben Coen·Daniel McLoughlin
15/8F·2.88
SP
2nd
Dreaminthejungle (IRE)
Adam Browne-Souza·Ms Claire O'Connell·beaten 3.75 lengths
16/1·17.00
SP
3rd
My Cubby Bear (IRE)
Adam Grant·Henry de Bromhead·beaten 2.5 lengths
2/1·3.00
SP

Race time

1m 12.49s

Race time recorded.

AI top-rated Port Arthur (score 48.8) finished 5th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way48.8/100 rating

Port Arthur

14.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Port Arthur

Robbie Colgan · M C Grassick · 3yo

Top-rated of 13

score 48.8 · +2.8 clear of next best (46.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
10d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
49below average
OR 74
Form20% weight
43below average
Last 6: 4-3-5-0-2
Trainer20% weight
43small sample (n=6)
M C Grassick: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 14.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.11

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.77

High (10–13)

IV 1.10

Today: Almeiyda (draw 2) and My Cubby Bear (draw 5) get the bias; Port Arthur (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 101 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	9	Lilli's Angel J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 13 3yo · F · ch	984	9-03	66	—	—	40.4	15/8F·2.88 SP
2	2	Dreaminthejungle J: Adam Browne-Souza(7) · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 10 4yo · G · ch	750	9-09	73	—	—	33.3	16/1·17.00 SP
3	10	My Cubby Bear J: Adam Grant(7) · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 5 3yo · F · b	6282	9-03	73	—	—	45.7	2/1·3.00 SP
4	1	Astute Power J: James Ryan · T: Edward Lynam · draw 12 4yo · G · bht	35400	9-09	60	—	—	29.9	80/1·81.00 SP
5	6	Port Arthur J: Robbie Colgan · T: M C Grassick · draw 8 3yo · G · brb	43502	9-08	74	—	—	48.8	8/1·9.00 SP
6	3	What's Enough J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 1 4yo · G · bh	3	9-09	—	—	—	23.5	28/1·29.00 SP
7	13	Tribal Belle J: Declan McDonogh · T: G. O'Leary · draw 9 3yo · F · btFT T	06	9-03	—	—	—	14.7	125/1·126.00 SP
8	7	Blessed By Faith J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 4 4yo · F · b	—	9-04	—	—	—	15.0	80/1·81.00 SP
9	4	Kula Bula Boyo J: Gavin Ryan · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 11 3yo · G · b	700	9-08	—	—	—	7.0	150/1·151.00 SP
10	5	Metallic J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 3yo · G · b	800	9-08	—	—	—	16.3	66/1·67.00 SP
11	8	Almeiyda J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 2 3yo · F · chv	422733	9-03	75	—	—	46.0	11/4·3.75 SP
12	12	Rosanella J: Andrew Slattery · T: Josh Halley · draw 3 3yo · F · bh	0	9-03	—	—	—	10.0	100/1·101.00 SP
13	11	Right On Time J: G. F. Carroll · T: Chris Timmons · draw 6 3yo · F · ch	—	9-03	—	—	—	15.0	100/1·101.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:15 Navan on 7 October 2026?

Lilli's Angel (IRE) won the 14:15 Navan at SP 2.88. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by Daniel McLoughlin.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:15 Navan?

No — the AI top pick (Port Arthur) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 14:15 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Lilli's Angel (IRE) (2.88), 2. Dreaminthejungle (IRE) (17.00), 3. My Cubby Bear (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:15 Navan?

The winning time was 1m 12.49s.

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