14:40 Bath

Mda Consulting Ltd Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 14 runners · £3,454 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (14 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Little Jaybee

No. 3 · score 48.6 · +1.1 clear of next best · best 10/1·11.00

Drawn 1, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Savannah Smiles

22·22.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair (consensus 20.11)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way48.6/100 rating

Little Jaybee

11.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Jojo RabbitDiffers from our pick

Jojo Rabbit heads our ratings on 76, three pounds clear of Little Jaybee and five ahead of Hi Lord, which is a useful edge in a competitive 14-runner Class 6 sprint over 5f on good ground. That advantage is enough to make him the one to beat, and he rates the one to beat in a big field at this level. Little Jaybee is the chief danger, with Hi Lord and Lahina Bay also needing respect if the principals are tightly bunched. Jojo Rabbit is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Little Jaybee

Edward Greatrex · David Evans · 3yo

Top-rated of 14

score 48.6 · +1.1 clear of next best (47.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
23d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
77strong
Last 6: 9-3-3-2-2-1
Ratings50% weight
41below average
OR 61
Trainer20% weight
15weak
David Evans: 1/17 winners last 14d (6%)

MarketBest price 11.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
1Midnight Call 2Jojo Rabbit 9Kodicall
Prominent(4)
10Recon Mission 11Lahina Bay 13Rinky Tinky Tinky 14Bama Lama
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(5)
3Little Jaybee 4Savannah Smiles 5Hi Lord 7Pedros Dream 12Nordic Glory
Unknown(2)
6Sweet Desire 8Darkened Edge

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Bath 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.12

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.06

High (11–14)

IV 0.81

Today: Little Jaybee (draw 1) and Jojo Rabbit (draw 5) get the bias; Lahina Bay (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Little JaybeePick J: Edward Greatrex · T: David Evans · draw 1 3yo · F · bDOnly runner	933221	9-05	61	—	—	48.6	11/1·12.07	11·11.00 Matchbook · -9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 Unibet9/1·10.00Smarkets10·10.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Dragon Bet8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 Betfred15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00
11	Lahina Bay J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Rachel Cook & John Bridger · draw 11 · combo 3/10 (30%) 6yo · M · b	273228	9-01	57	—	—	47.5	12/1·13.41	10/1·11.00 Star Sports · -18% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Star Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange11·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00Matchbook11·11.00LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.0010 Bet9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Unibet9/1·10.00Smarkets10·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 BetWright17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 7Bet17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00
1	Midnight Call J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 14 · combo 7/32 (22%) 5yo · M · bDOnly pairing	141027	9-09	65	—	—	46.9	22/1·22.80	22·22.00 Matchbook · -4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook22·22.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00Smarkets19.5·19.50SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Bet36516/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 7Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00
10	Recon Mission J: Luke Morris · T: Tony Carroll · draw 6 · combo 1/10 (10%) 10yo · G · bC&DGoing 1/3Only pairing	653316	9-01	57	—	—	45.7	28/1·28.16	30·30.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook30·30.00Betfair Exchange28·28.00Smarkets27·27.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00William Hill20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Bet36518/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00
7	Pedros Dream J: Kieren Fox · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8 · combo 2/22 (9%) 3yo · G · chOnly ride	4952	9-04	60	—	—	45.2	7/1·8.05	8.4·8.40 Smarkets · +4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets8.4·8.40Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40Matchbook8.4·8.40SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Coral11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Midnite11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 7Bet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00BetMGM5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50
2	Jojo Rabbit J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Ruth Carr · draw 5 8yo · G · bDGoing 1/5Only runner	049217	9-08	60	—	—	43.6	4/1·5.03	4.5·4.50 Matchbook · -10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook4.5·4.50Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50Smarkets4.4·4.40SmarketsSBK16/5·4.20 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Bet3653/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Hollywood Bets11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 10 Bet11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 7Bet11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25
4	Savannah Smiles J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Grace Harris · draw 12 · combo 4/48 (8%) 6yo · M · bpClass dropOn last winning markOnly runner	126954	9-05	61	—	—	43.1	20/1·20.11	22·22.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook22·22.00Betfair Exchange21·21.00Smarkets20·20.00SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00
8	Darkened Edge J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Mason · draw 9 · combo 9/54 (17%) 6yo · M · bC&DOnly runner	341127	9-04	60	—	—	42.7	16/1·16.09	17·17.00 Matchbook · +6% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook17·17.00Smarkets16·16.00Betfair Exchange16·16.00 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.0010 Bet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00
6	Sweet Desire J: Charles Bishop · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 3 4yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner	0486	9-04	60	—	—	39.5	50/1·54.98	95·95.00 Matchbook · +73% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook95·95.00Betfair Exchange85·85.00 SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00Smarkets48·48.00Coral40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.0010 Bet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00BetWright40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00
13	Rinky Tinky Tinky J: Alice Bond(5) · T: Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque · draw 2 · combo 2/6 (33%) 4yo · F · bpClass dropC&DGoing 1/3Only rideOnly runner	658011	8-10	52	—	—	38.9	12/1·13.41	14.5·14.50 Matchbook · +8% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook14.5·14.50Betfair Exchange14·14.00Smarkets13.5·13.50SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00BetWright9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Bet3659/1·10.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00
5	Hi Lord J: Ray Dawson · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 10 4yo · G · bOnly runner	730508	9-04	60	—	—	38.5	11/2·6.70	6·6.00 Smarkets · -10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets6·6.00Betfair Exchange5.9·5.90Matchbook5.9·5.90Unibet9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Betfred4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00BetWright4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00
9	Kodicall J: Taylor Fisher · T: J. S. Moore · draw 7 · combo 0/47 (0%) 3yo · G · bClass dropOn last winning mark	525180	9-03	59	—	—	37.6	40/1·45.59	46·46.00 Matchbook Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook46·46.00Betfair Exchange40·40.00Smarkets38·38.007Bet35/1·36.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Unibet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00
12	Nordic Glory J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Michael Attwater · draw 13 · combo 2/6 (33%) 7yo · G · chC&DOnly rideOnly runner	801455	9-01	57	—	—	33.8	20/1·20.11	28·28.00 Matchbook · +39% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Smarkets26·26.00Betfair Exchange25·25.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00BetTom14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00
14	Bama Lama J: Tyler Heard · T: Rod Millman · draw 4 8yo · M · chOnly pairing	66962	8-04	42	—	—	28.3	66/1·68.39	110·110.00 Smarkets · +61% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets110·110.00Matchbook100·100.00Betfair Exchange85·85.00 SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00Hollywood Bets50/1·51.00Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 10 Bet50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Mda Consulting Ltd Handicap Stakes?

The Mda Consulting Ltd Handicap Stakes is off at 14:40 on 8 October 2026 at Bath (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:40 Bath?

5f, Class 6, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:40 Bath?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:40 Bath?

The AI top-rated runner is Little Jaybee (score 48.6, best price 11.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:40 Bath?

The market favourite is Jojo Rabbit at a best price of 4.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Little Jaybee.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org