Who won the 19:15 Newcastle (AW) on 16 October 2026?
Cavallo Pazzo (IRE) won the 19:15 Newcastle (AW) at SP 7.50. Ridden by Shane Gray. Trained by Daragh Bourke.
19:15 Newcastle (AW)
Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div I)
7f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,245 · Friday, 16 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stCavallo Pazzo (IRE)Shane Gray·Daragh Bourke13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndCoulsty Exchange (IRE)Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten 3 lengths7/4F·2.75SP
- 3rdTrais Fluors (GB)Tom Kiely-Marshall·Linda Perratt·beaten 2.25 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 26.84s
Race time recorded.
AI top-rated Dream Forever (score 46.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way46.7/100 rating
Dream Forever
5.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Cavallo Pazzo
Cavallo Pazzo heads our ratings at 59 and looks the right choice in a modest Class 6 contest over seven furlongs at Newcastle. He is two pounds better than Orbital Chime, so the edge is narrow, but it is enough to make him the one to beat in a field where few have a clear calling card. Orbital Chime is the chief danger on 57, with Hey Havana (55) and Neapolitan (54) close enough to take advantage if our pick fails to perform. Cavallo Pazzo gets the vote.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Dream Forever
Connor Beasley · Jedd O'Keeffe · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 46.7 · +4.1 clear of next best (42.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=4)Jedd O'Keeffe: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight44below averageLast 6: 0-0-1-2-8-4
- Ratings50% weight31weakOR 46
MarketBest price 5.00 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.94
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.06
High (7–9)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Shane Gray · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 2 7yo · G · btv | 79768 | 55 | 29.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 5 4yo · F · gt | 7366 | 48 | 42.5 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) · T: Linda Perratt · draw 8 12yo · G · b | 507618 | 52 | 34.1 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 9 3yo · G · chb | 001284 | 46 | 46.7 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 1 5yo · G · btv | 00677 | 50 | 31.8 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Fred Watson · draw 6 5yo · M · b | 70076 | 40 | 25.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Helen Cuthbert · draw 3 6yo · G · bv | 266860 | 54 | 27.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Jack Callan · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 524380 | 55 | 42.7 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Aiden Brookes · T: Philip Kirby · draw 4 7yo · G · b | 708470 | 48 | 29.4 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:15 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Dream Forever) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 19:15 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Cavallo Pazzo (IRE) (7.50), 2. Coulsty Exchange (IRE) (2.75), 3. Trais Fluors (GB) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:15 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 26.84s.
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