19:45 Newcastle (AW)

Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div II)

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runners · £3,245 · Friday, 16 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Clasina (GB)
Gina Mangan·John Berry
12/1·13.00
SP
2nd
Lanarra (IRE)AI top pick · 40.9
James Sullivan·R. Mike Smith·beaten 0.3 lengths
6/5F·2.20
SP
3rd
Territorial Star (GB)
Daniel Tudhope·Rebecca Menzies·beaten .75 lengths
5/1·6.00
SP

Race time

1m 29.14s

Race time recorded.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way39.5/100 rating

Toy Soldier

9.00Hollywood Bets

Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Sprinting Speed

Sprinting Speed gets the nod in a modest Class 6 contest at Newcastle, heading our ratings on 63 and narrowly ahead of Maynora on 61, so this is no formality. Maynora is the chief danger, with Territorial Star on 60 and Clasina on 58 also well capable of making this a tight finish. Lanarra and the rest look to have plenty to find, which leaves Sprinting Speed to edge it on the figures. Sprinting Speed is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lanarra

James Sullivan · R. Mike Smith · 3yo

Top-rated of 9

score 40.9 · +0.8 clear of next best (40.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
68strong
Last 6: 4-3-5-1-3-2
Ratings50% weight
35weak
OR 52
Trainer20% weight
0weak
R. Mike Smith: 0/11 winners last 14d (0%)

MarketBest price 3.70 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.94

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.06

High (7–9)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Clasina J: Gina Mangan · T: John Berry · draw 8 5yo · M · b	31090	9-09	55	—	—	32.1	12/1·13.00 SP
2	5	Lanarra J: James Sullivan · T: R. Mike Smith · draw 6 3yo · F · b	435132	9-04	52	—	—	40.9	6/5F·2.20 SP
3	4	Territorial Star J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 4 3yo · F · bt	650747	9-06	54	—	—	32.3	5/1·6.00 SP
4	3	Sprinting Speed J: Jack Callan · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 3 3yo · G · chp	058870	9-06	54	—	—	34.0	8/1·9.00 SP
5	2	Maynora J: William Pyle · T: Craig Lidster · draw 1 3yo · G · brp	452547	9-07	55	—	—	32.7	9/2·5.50 SP
6	8	Mystic Wave J: Aiden Brookes · T: David Thompson · draw 7 4yo · F · bp	7899	9-00	35	—	—	33.2	100/1·101.00 SP
7	7	Miss Raincloud J: Luke Morris · T: Alexandra Dunn · draw 9 4yo · F · grh	08607	9-00	45	—	—	40.1	33/1·34.00 SP
8	6	Toy Soldier J: Andrew Mullen · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · draw 2 4yo · G · bb	687558	9-02	48	—	—	39.5	11/2·6.50 SP
—	—	Nefyn Queen J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 5 3yo · F · bpFT P	06000	8-12	34	—	—	27.4	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:45 Newcastle (AW) on 16 October 2026?

Clasina (GB) won the 19:45 Newcastle (AW) at SP 13.00. Ridden by Gina Mangan. Trained by John Berry.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:45 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Lanarra) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 19:45 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Clasina (GB) (13.00), 2. Lanarra (IRE) (2.20), 3. Territorial Star (GB) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:45 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 29.14s.

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