Who won the 15:05 Ascot on 20 June 2026?
Giavellotto (IRE) won the 15:05 Ascot at SP 10.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Marco Botti.
15:05 Ascot
Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2)
1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £141,775 · Saturday, 20 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stGiavellotto (IRE)Oisin Murphy·Marco Botti9/1·10.00SP
- 2ndKalpana (GB)Colin Keane·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.1 lengths9/4F·3.25SP
- 3rdGoliath (GER)Christophe Soumillon·F-H Graffard·beaten 1.75 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
2m 27.91s−1.79s vs std
Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.
AI top-rated Jan Brueghel (score 77.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Kalpana
Kalpana heads the field on our ratings and her record at this venue is exceptional, with two top-level victories to her name, and she arrives here still on an upward curve having held a fitter West Wind Blows at bay first time out — a run she should improve upon considerably. Ridden with more cover today, she can wear her rivals down in the straight over this twelve-furlong trip on ground that suits. Jan Brueghel, a dual Group 1 winner who ran respectably in the King George on ground easier than he wants, is the chief threat, with Goliath — who has top-class course-and-distance form on fast ground — and the progressive West Wind Blows also demanding respect. **Kalpana** is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Jan Brueghel
Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 5yo
Top-rated of 12
score 77.5 · +2.4 clear of next best (75.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight82very strongOR 123 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight80very strongLast 6: 2-1-4-1-2
- Trainer20% weight53averageA P O'Brien: 9/42 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 1m4f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.18).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.75
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.18
High (9–12)
IV 1.11
Today: Santorini Star (draw 8) and Best Secret (draw 7) get the bias; Jan Brueghel (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 78 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Marco Botti · draw 4 7yo · H · ch | 14233 | 120 | 63.4 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 2 | 11 | J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 5yo · M · bp | 22711 | 120 | 73.2 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Christophe Soumillon · T: F-H Graffard · draw 10 6yo · G · b | 10321 | 119 | 72.2 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3 5yo · H · b | 21412 | 123 | 77.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Pierre-Charles Boudot · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 11 5yo · G · bpFT P | 13144 | 111 | 65.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 12 4yo · G · b | 11246 | 115 | 64.7 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: William Buick · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 6 7yo · G · b | 42222 | 115 | 62.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: James Doyle · T: S Wattel · draw 7 4yo · C · b | 31161 | 115 | 62.0 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: W P Mullins · draw 9 6yo · G · bh | 1115 | 120 | 68.4 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Scott · draw 5 7yo · G · b | 11916 | 110 | 59.6 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 11 | 7 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1 4yo · C · bp | 15413 | 118 | 73.1 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 12 | 12 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 8 5yo · M · bpFT P | 11212 | 111 | 75.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:05 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Jan Brueghel) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:05 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Giavellotto (IRE) (10.00), 2. Kalpana (GB) (3.25), 3. Goliath (GER) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:05 Ascot?
The winning time was 2m 27.91s, 1.79s faster than standard.
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