Who won the 16:20 Ascot on 20 June 2026?
Thesecretadversary (IRE) won the 16:20 Ascot at SP 21.00. Ridden by Seamie Heffernan. Trained by J A Stack.
16:20 Ascot
Jersey Stakes (Group 3)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 16 runners · £99,243 · Saturday, 20 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stThesecretadversary (IRE)Seamie Heffernan·J A Stack20/1·21.00SP
- 2ndTake Charge Star (IRE)Ben Coen·J P Murtagh·beaten 0.3 lengths50/1·51.00SP
- 3rdMorris Dancer (IRE)Benoit De La Sayette·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 4.5 lengths25/1·26.00SP
Race time
1m 25.18s−0.62s vs std
Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.
AI top-rated Saber Strike (score 76.5) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Thesecretadversary
Thesecretadversary arrives here rated at the head of the field and with a strong case to make on form, having won on reappearance before running creditably in both Guineas trials — denied a clear run when it mattered in the Irish equivalent and better than the bare result. The step back to seven furlongs on good-to-firm ground looks well suited to him, and a drop in class relative to those Classic assignments gives him every chance to show his best. America Queen and The Prettiest Star — who shaped with considerable credit when fourth in the Guineas on her seasonal return — are the most likely threats, while Morris Dancer, despite possessing the raw ability to trouble the field, is having his first start since the summer, an outing that may bring him on. Thesecretadversary gets the nod, though confidence is modest in a deep field.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Saber Strike
Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 3yo
Top-rated of 16
score 76.5 · +4.9 clear of next best (71.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight100very strongLast 6: 1-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong50d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight72strongOR 108
- Trainer20% weight60averageWilliam Haggas: 12/51 winners last 14d (24%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–6)
IV 0.87
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.98
High (13–17)
IV 1.16
Today: Catullus (draw 14) and Avicenna (draw 16) get the bias; Thesecretadversary (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 2 3yo · C · ch | 15156 | 108 | 71.6 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 2 | 13 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 1 3yo · C · bt | 16258 | 99 | 58.8 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Benoit De La Sayette · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 8 3yo · C · b | 7121 | 110 | 64.2 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 4 | 16 | J: James McDonald · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 01306 | 106 | 59.2 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 7 3yo · C · bbFT B | 71313 | 107 | 69.3 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 6 | 12 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 9 3yo · C · b | 11 | 108 | 76.5 | 11/10F·2.10 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 12 3yo · G · bvFT V | 12323 | 103 | 65.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 14 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Richard Hughes · draw 5 3yo · F · gr | 1242 | 108 | 59.1 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 1 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6 3yo · C · gr | 41178 | 104 | 62.4 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 10 | 7 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 14 3yo · G · b | 14271 | 107 | 68.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 11 | 17 | J: James Doyle · T: Ed Walker · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 124 | 109 | 64.4 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 12 | 8 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 13 3yo · C · b | 52121 | 103 | 64.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 13 | 15 | J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 11 3yo · F · b | 130 | 97 | 50.7 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 14 | 9 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Jim Boyle · draw 17 3yo · C · b | 124 | 107 | 64.7 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 15 | 4 | J: Colin Keane · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 15 3yo · G · b | 77463 | 103 | 57.3 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 16 | 5 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 16 3yo · C · ch | 1120 | 105 | 65.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Rowan Scott · T: K R Burke · draw 4 3yo · C · ch | 4150 | 95 | 55.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Saber Strike) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 16:20 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Thesecretadversary (IRE) (21.00), 2. Take Charge Star (IRE) (51.00), 3. Morris Dancer (IRE) (26.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:20 Ascot?
The winning time was 1m 25.18s, 0.62s faster than standard.
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