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RacingAlpha

16:35 Curragh

IrelandFeature

Comer Group International Irish St. Leger

1m6f · Flat · Good · 7 runners · €289,999 · Sunday, 13 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/11F·1.36
  1. 1st
    Scandinavia (USA)AI top pick · 75.2
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien
    4/11F·1.36
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Queenstown (IRE)
    Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien·beaten 2 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Jan Brueghel (IRE)
    Ronan Whelan·A P O'Brien·beaten .75 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
2m 58.18s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Scandinavia (USA))

“Settled just behind the pace in 2nd - pushed to keep tempo 4f out and again with 2f left - hit front a furlong and a half out - kept finding to score driven out”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.36 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Scandinavia

Scandinavia is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile and a fitness edge that may tip the balance over the longer journey at the Curragh, though Jan Brueghel holds a five-point advantage on our ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, with Trustyourinstinct and Tennessee Stud also capable of making their presence felt in a competitive seven-runner field. The confidence in this call is modest, and punters should be aware this is a race that could easily fall to Jan Brueghel if that rating superiority proves decisive over fourteen furlongs on good ground. Scandinavia is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Scandinavia

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 4yo

Top-rated of 7
score 75.2 · +5.6 clear of next best (69.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1-1-1-1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    47d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    83very strong
    OR 125 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    A P O'Brien: 5/50 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 1.40 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m6f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.14
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.02
High (6–7)
IV 0.83

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 25 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 7
4yo · C · baybrownp
11111
12575.2
4/11F·1.36
SP
24
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5
6yo · G · bb
63321
11066.8
20/1·21.00
SP
32
J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2
5yo · H · b
14124
12065.2
6/1·7.00
SP
47
6yo · G · ch
72121
11368.3
13/2·7.50
SP
53
5yo · G · bt
94453
10458.4
100/1·101.00
SP
61
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 4
4yo · C · chtpFT TP
33233
10969.6
33/1·34.00
SP
76
4yo · C · bpFT P
41036
10757.0
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:35 Curragh on 13 September 2026?

Scandinavia (USA) won the 16:35 Curragh at SP 1.36. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:35 Curragh?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Scandinavia, won the race (AI score 75.2).

What were the placings in the 16:35 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Scandinavia (USA) (1.36), 2. Queenstown (IRE) (21.00), 3. Jan Brueghel (IRE) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:35 Curragh?

The winning time was 2m 58.18s.

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