Who won the 16:25 Curragh on 19 July 2026?
Trustyourinstinct (IRE) won the 16:25 Curragh at SP 7.50. Ridden by Declan McDonogh. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.
1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Curragh Cup (Group 2)
1m6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · €78,000 · Sunday, 19 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 13/2·7.50Race report
- 1stTrustyourinstinct (IRE)AI top pick · 77.2Declan McDonogh·Joseph Patrick O'Brien13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndHappy Pharoah (IRE)Paddy Harnett·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien·beaten .75 lengths25/1·26.00SP
- 3rdAl Riffa (FR)Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten .75 lengths4/6F·1.67SP
Race time
2m 58.30s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Trustyourinstinct (IRE))
“started at the back - 6th at halfway - angled left and pushed along 1 1/2f out - made ground out wide to be 4th 1f out - finished strongly in 3rd over the final 150 yards to hit the front near the line and found the most”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way77.2/100 rating
Trustyourinstinct
9.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Al Riffa
Al Riffa holds a clear advantage on our figures for this Curragh 14f contest and is the obvious selection. Illinois is the nearest on the ratings and the pick of the danger list, with Trustyourinstinct and Green Impact also in that mix without quite matching his figure. Confidence in Al Riffa is high given the size of that rating edge.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Trustyourinstinct
Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 6yo
Top-rated of 6
score 77.2 · +4.4 clear of next best (72.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight83very strongJoseph Patrick O'Brien: 19/58 winners last 14d (33%)
- Ratings50% weight73strongOR 109
- Form20% weight72strongLast 6: 6-7-2-1-2
MarketBest price 9.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 1m6f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.14
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.02
High (7–8)
IV 0.83
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 25 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 5 6yo · G · ch | 67212 | 109 | 77.2 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Paddy Harnett · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 6 4yo · G · bt | 21072 | 106 | 63.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 1 6yo · C · bp | 74634 | 118 | 72.7 | 4/6F·1.67 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 8 4yo · F · bp | 21501 | 107 | 58.7 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2 5yo · C · b | 27361 | 111 | 60.6 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 4yo · C · b | 44103 | 109 | 71.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 7 4yo · C · b | 16444 | 109 | 53.9 | — |
| — | — | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 332547 | 100 | 49.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Curragh?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Trustyourinstinct, won the race (AI score 77.2).
What were the placings in the 16:25 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Trustyourinstinct (IRE) (7.50), 2. Happy Pharoah (IRE) (26.00), 3. Al Riffa (FR) (1.67).
What was the winning time for the 16:25 Curragh?
The winning time was 2m 58.30s.
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