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14:49 Ripon

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 14 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 14th
  1. 1st
    Accrual (GB)
    William Pyle·Ruth Carr
    4/1F·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mighty Magnus (IRE)
    Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 1 length
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Hiya Maite (GB)
    Jack Gilligan·Roy Bowring·beaten 0.1 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
57.73s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Accrual (GB))

“Handy in the pack early - pushed along a furlong out - hit the front inside the final furlong - pulled clear to score”

AI top-rated Tiva (score 54.5) finished 14th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way52.0/100 rating
Accrual
6.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mighty Magnus

Mighty Magnus heads this competitive five-furlong Ripon sprint narrowly ahead of Hiya Maite on ratings, and with good ground suiting a horse of his profile, the case for him leading the market is straightforward. Hiya Maite represents the most pressing danger given the slender gap between them, while Emerald Harmony and Tiva will not be without support in a field of fifteen. That said, Mighty Magnus looks the most consistent and accomplished runner in the line-up, and provided he handles the track, he should prove too strong for his rivals. The selection is Mighty Magnus.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Tiva

Conor Whiteley(5) · David O'Meara · 4yo

Top-rated of 15
score 54.5 · +2.5 clear of next best (52.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 4-6-3-1-4-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    David O'Meara: 6/58 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 67.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 10th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ripon 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.94
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.15
High (11–15)
IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 162 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: William Pyle · T: Ruth Carr · draw 15
5yo · G · b
051375
7652.0
4/1F·5.00
SP
24
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 12
3yo · G · b
535025
8145.7
8/1·9.00
SP
32
J: Jack Gilligan · T: Roy Bowring · draw 7
8yo · G · b
62473
8042.6
6/1·7.00
SP
410
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 3
5yo · M · b
123667
7538.7
18/1·19.00
SP
53
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 14
5yo · G · bp
602118
8051.7
9/2·5.50
SP
613
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 11
10yo · G · bp
243627
6946.1
12/1·13.00
SP
76
J: Oisin Orr · T: Ruth Carr · draw 9
4yo · G · b
43107
7952.0
15/2·8.50
SP
812
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 10
7yo · G · bp
624400
7035.0
16/1·17.00
SP
911
J: Rowan Scott · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 8
8yo · G · ch
191533
7450.5
20/1·21.00
SP
108
J: Luke Morris · T: Michael Appleby · draw 4
4yo · G · bp
614108
7651.1
50/1·51.00
SP
117
J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Ruth Carr · draw 5
3yo · F · gr
411079
7850.8
33/1·34.00
SP
1215
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Michael Appleby · draw 2
9yo · G · bh
087703
6343.6
25/1·26.00
SP
1314
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6
6yo · M · blp
282254
6445.0
28/1·29.00
SP
141
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 1
4yo · F · chtv
463141
8554.5
5/1·6.00
SP
——
J: Jason Hart · T: Paul Midgley · draw 13
6yo · G · ch
214413
8047.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:49 Ripon on 26 September 2026?

Accrual (GB) won the 14:49 Ripon at SP 5.00. Ridden by William Pyle. Trained by Ruth Carr.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:49 Ripon?

No — the AI top pick (Tiva) finished 14.

What were the placings in the 14:49 Ripon?

Top finishers: 1. Accrual (GB) (5.00), 2. Mighty Magnus (IRE) (9.00), 3. Hiya Maite (GB) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:49 Ripon?

The winning time was 57.73s.

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