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Next · 2h 20m14:30Gowran Park

16:40 Ripon

Michael Raby Memorial Handicap Stakes (Div II)

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Angel Summer (IRE)
    Jason Hart·Patrick Owens
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Taygar (IRE)
    Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 0.1 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Kings Merchant (GB)
    Conor Whiteley·Philip Kirby·beaten 2.25 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 11.41s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Angel Summer (IRE))

“Tracked the pace - asked for effort with 2f left - closed in and edged ahead close home - held on in a tight finish”

AI top-rated Hurstwood (score 54.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way54.0/100 rating
Hurstwood
6.00LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Kings Merchant

Kings Merchant has been showing a progressive profile that makes him an appealing proposition here despite rating three points adrift of the top-rated Liverpool Star, who must be respected as the chief danger alongside Valentine Catcher and Taygar in what looks a competitive six-furlong Class 6 at Ripon. The concern is that the ratings edge does lie narrowly with Liverpool Star, so Kings Merchant will need to continue his upward trajectory to get the better of that rival. On balance, the progressive case just about tips things in his favour, and the selection is Kings Merchant.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Hurstwood

Mark Winn · Peter Niven · 9yo

Top-rated of 10
score 54.0 · +6.5 clear of next best (47.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 6-0-4-7-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Peter Niven: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57
MarketBest price 6.00 (LiveScore Bet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ripon 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.15
High (8–10)
IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 162 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
110
J: Jason Hart · T: Patrick Owens · draw 10
3yo · F · bt
496523
5442.9
8/1·9.00
SP
26
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 3
5yo · M · b
242699
5938.9
9/1·10.00
SP
31
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Philip Kirby · draw 6
5yo · G · bp
821451
6545.0
9/2·5.50
SP
47
J: Mark Winn · T: Peter Niven · draw 7
9yo · G · br
604711
5754.0
7/2·4.50
SP
53
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9
5yo · G · bp
397233
6247.5
9/4F·3.25
SP
69
J: Luke Morris · T: Tina Jackson · draw 8
4yo · F · b
94330
5231.2
16/1·17.00
SP
78
J: David Nolan · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 1
3yo · F · b
797605
5829.5
20/1·21.00
SP
84
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5
7yo · G · btb
274077
6040.4
18/1·19.00
SP
92
3yo · G · b
145490
6537.3
12/1·13.00
SP
105
J: Oisin Orr · T: Mr Mark Walford · draw 2
3yo · G · bvFT V
801696
6132.0
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:40 Ripon on 26 September 2026?

Angel Summer (IRE) won the 16:40 Ripon at SP 9.00. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Patrick Owens.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:40 Ripon?

No — the AI top pick (Hurstwood) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 16:40 Ripon?

Top finishers: 1. Angel Summer (IRE) (9.00), 2. Taygar (IRE) (10.00), 3. Kings Merchant (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:40 Ripon?

The winning time was 1m 11.41s.

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