Who won the 18:00 Dundalk (AW) on 2 October 2026?
Shimmering Sun (IRE) won the 18:00 Dundalk (AW) at SP 4.00. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by Harry Eustace.
18:00 Dundalk (AW)
IrelandIrish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed)
5f · Flat · Class 1 · Standard · 13 runners · €30,000 · Friday, 2 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 10thRace report
- 1stShimmering Sun (IRE)Ben Coen·Harry Eustace3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndControlla (IRE)Rowan Scott·Robson De Aguiar·beaten 1.25 lengths8/1·9.00SP
- 3rdBlooming Sally (IRE)Andrew Slattery·A. Slattery·beaten .5 lengths100/1·101.00SP
Race time
59.48s
Race time recorded.
AI top-rated Big Negotiator (score 61.4) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way54.8/100 rating
Controlla
12.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Star Prospect
Star Prospect heads our ratings on 108, a clear eight pounds better than Big Negotiator on 100, and that gap is the heart of the case in a 13-runner Class 1 sprint on the Dundalk all-weather. Big Negotiator, Grayrobin on 99 and Controlla on 98 are the chief dangers, and they are tightly bunched, so any of them could pick up the pieces if our pick fails to run to his best. Still, Star Prospect has the strongest profile on our figures and the best claims on ratings, so he is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Big Negotiator
W. J. Lee · P. Twomey · 2yo
Top-rated of 13
score 61.4 · +5.8 clear of next best (55.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong11d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight67strongOR 101 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight59averageLast 6: 1-0-4-1-0-1
- Trainer20% weight45below averageP. Twomey: 2/11 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 3.75 (Coral) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.94
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.06
High (10–13)
IV 1.02
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 217 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | J: Ben Coen · T: Harry Eustace · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 17202 | 95 | 51.7 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 12 2yo · F · g | 20561 | 94 | 54.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 5 2yo · F · ch | 20 | — | 23.2 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 4 | 13 | J: G. F. Carroll · T: G. M. Lyons · draw 11 2yo · F · rn | 5322 | 80 | 55.6 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 2562 | 84 | 53.2 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 6 2yo · C · bt | 8315 | 88 | 53.3 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Liam Keniry · T: Miss Evanna McCutcheon · draw 13 2yo · C · bp | 233172 | 90 | 52.6 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Gavin Ryan · T: Miss Kate McGivern · draw 4 2yo · C · gr | 81125 | 96 | 53.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 9 2yo · C · bpFT P | 130374 | 93 | 55.7 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 5 | 2yo · F · bv | 104101 | 101 | 61.4 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 11 | 11 | J: W. M. Lordan · T: Josh Halley · draw 1 2yo · F · chhtFT HT | 43157 | 84 | 43.3 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 12 | 7 | J: Luke McAteer · T: Diego Dias · draw 10 2yo · F · ch | 751266 | 90 | 47.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 13 | 10 | J: Jamie Powell · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 7 2yo · F · g | 61 | — | 29.2 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Dundalk (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Big Negotiator) finished 10.
What were the placings in the 18:00 Dundalk (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Shimmering Sun (IRE) (4.00), 2. Controlla (IRE) (9.00), 3. Blooming Sally (IRE) (101.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:00 Dundalk (AW)?
The winning time was 59.48s.
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