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19:30 Dundalk (AW)

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed)

7f · Flat · Class 1 · Standard · 10 runners · €30,000 · Friday, 2 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Joga Bonito (GB)
    W. J. Lee·P. Twomey
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Salt Lake (IRE)
    Donagh O'Connor·Robson De Aguiar·beaten 0.3 lengths
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dee's Funny Girl (IRE)
    Oisin Orr·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien·beaten 4.5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
1m 24.93s

Race time recorded.

AI top-rated South Dakota (score 66.7) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way66.7/100 rating
South Dakota
4.90Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Dee's Funny Girl

Dee's Funny Girl heads our ratings at 103 and gets the nod in a competitive 7f Class 1 event at Dundalk, standing narrowly ahead of her nearest pursuer on figures. That two-pound edge over Joga Bonito is no more than a slight advantage, but it is enough to make her the one to beat in an open-looking field of eleven. Joga Bonito is the chief danger, with South Dakota and Nicely also firmly in the picture on ratings just a few pounds back. Dee's Funny Girl is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

South Dakota

W. M. Lordan · Aidan O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 11
score 66.7 · +2.5 clear of next best (64.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    32d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    70strong
    Last 6: 4-4-3-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    65strong
    OR 98
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    Aidan O'Brien: 9/40 winners last 14d (23%)
MarketBest price 4.90 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.04
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.11
High (9–11)
IV 0.86

Today: Nicely (draw 7) and Zoar (draw 6) get the bias; South Dakota (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 440 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: W. J. Lee · T: P. Twomey · draw 2
2yo · G · gp
42312
9364.1
11/2·6.50
SP
26
2yo · C · b
21
—35.0
6/4F·2.50
SP
39
2yo · F · b
1626
9959.6
5/1·6.00
SP
411
2yo · F · ch
21614
9464.2
9/1·10.00
SP
55
2yo · C · bp
203517
9760.1
14/1·15.00
SP
610
J: G. F. Carroll · T: A Oliver · draw 10
2yo · F · b
16
—24.3
80/1·81.00
SP
77
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 11
2yo · C · b
44331
9866.7
7/2·4.50
SP
88
2yo · C · b
213
8963.9
50/1·51.00
SP
92
2yo · C · b
3811
8760.1
50/1·51.00
SP
103
J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 3
2yo · G · b
541
9052.5
40/1·41.00
SP
——
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 4
2yo · C · b
3
—32.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:30 Dundalk (AW) on 2 October 2026?

Joga Bonito (GB) won the 19:30 Dundalk (AW) at SP 6.50. Ridden by W. J. Lee. Trained by P. Twomey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Dundalk (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (South Dakota) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 19:30 Dundalk (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Joga Bonito (GB) (6.50), 2. Salt Lake (IRE) (2.50), 3. Dee's Funny Girl (IRE) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:30 Dundalk (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 24.93s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org