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15:35 York

Feature

Legends Global Yorkshire Oaks (Group 1)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 9 runners · £340,260 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 75.4 · +2.3 clear of next best · best 6/5·2.20
Best value vs consensus
210·210.00 Smarkets · +15% vs fair (consensus 182.63)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way71.3/100 rating
Minnie Hauk
5.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Kalpana

Colin Keane · Andrew Balding · 5yo

Top-rated of 9
score 75.4 · +2.3 clear of next best (73.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    88very strong
    Last 6: 7-1-1-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    83very strong
    OR 125 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    30weak
    Andrew Balding: 6/49 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketBest price 2.20 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 1m4f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.38
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.71
High (7–9)
IV 0.87

Today: Tattycoram (draw 1) and Legacy Link (draw 2) get the bias; Kalpana (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 83 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6 · combo 4/17 (24%)
5yo · M · bpDOnly pairing
71121
12575.411/8·2.426/5·2.20
Bet365 · -9% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
3
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 1 · combo 7/49 (14%)
4yo · F · bDOnly pairing
33511
11173.120/1·20.5623·23.00
Betfair Exchange · +12% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 30/89 (34%)
4yo · F · b
61528
12171.39/2·5.445.6·5.60
Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 · combo 43/205 (21%)
3yo · F · btD
33121
11769.75/1·6.056.2·6.20
Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2 · combo 9/34 (26%)
3yo · F · b
14127
10967.014/1·15.7214.5·14.50
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: James Doyle · T: William Haggas · draw 8 · combo 3/10 (30%)
3yo · F · bDOnly pairing
21216
10966.325/1·25.4027·27.00
Smarkets · +6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
9
J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5 · combo 2/22 (9%)
3yo · F · bOnly ride
91430
10262.3200/1·182.63210·210.00
Smarkets · +15% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
8
J: Rossa Ryan · T: J S Bolger · draw 9
3yo · F · chDGoing 1/2Only runner
11134
10960.528/1·31.4534·34.00
Smarkets · +8% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Oisin Murphy · T: David Menuisier · draw 3
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
40132
11058.220/1·20.5622·22.00
Matchbook · +7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 21% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Legends Global Yorkshire Oaks (Group 1)?

The Legends Global Yorkshire Oaks (Group 1) is off at 15:35 on 20 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:35 York?

1m4f, Class 1, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:35 York?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:35 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Kalpana (score 75.4, best price 2.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:35 York?

The market favourite is Kalpana at a best price of 2.20.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org