Who won the 15:25 Curragh on 13 September 2026?
Comanche Brave (IRE) won the 15:25 Curragh at SP 3.50. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Donnacha Aidan O'Brien.
BAR 1 Betting Flying Five Stakes (Group 1)
5f · Flat · Class 1 · Yielding · 17 runners · €240,000 · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stComanche Brave (IRE)Billy Loughnane·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien5/2F·3.50SP
- 2ndAmerican Affair (GB)Daniel Tudhope·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.25 lengths8/1·9.00SP
- 3rdRumstar (GB)Rob Hornby·Jonathan Portman·beaten .5 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
58.80s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Comanche Brave (IRE))
“Settled in midfield - boxed in twice approaching final two furlongs - forced through into 6th but blocked once more a furlong out - driven up to hit the front inside the last - kept finding to win going away”
AI top-rated Starlust (score 66.6) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way62.4/100 rating
American Affair
12.50Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Rumstar
Rumstar rates 2 lb below the top-rated Night Raider on these figures, yet a progressive profile makes that gap look bridgeable in a competitive five-furlong Class 1 at the Curragh on good ground. Night Raider and Comanche Brave are the obvious threats in an eighteen-runner field, with Mission Central also capable of making life difficult if reproducing his best. The case for Rumstar rests on the sense that his ceiling has not yet been reached, giving him an edge over rivals who may be running closer to their known level. Rumstar is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Starlust
Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett · 5yo
Top-rated of 18
score 66.6 · +2.2 clear of next best (64.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong23d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight75strongOR 112
- Trainer20% weight53averageRalph Beckett: 10/48 winners last 14d (21%)
- Form20% weight44below averageLast 6: 4-6-0-4-2
MarketBest price 34.00 (Virgin Bet) · 5th in the market of 18.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 5f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).
Low (1–6)
IV 1.03
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.84
High (13–18)
IV 1.12
Today: American Affair (draw 18) and Comanche Brave (draw 15) get the bias; Starlust (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 15 4yo · C · br | 335171 | 118 | 61.6 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Jim Goldie · draw 18 6yo · G · b | 020610 | 112 | 62.4 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 17 6yo · G · b | 20123 | 112 | 60.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 10 5yo · H · b | 46042 | 112 | 66.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 12 6yo · G · bb | 903571 | 108 | 61.8 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 6 | 16 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 3yo · F · bbFT B | 466102 | 98 | 59.8 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 16 3yo · C · btp | 64050 | 101 | 50.2 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Robert Cowell · draw 7 5yo · G · b | 114530 | 108 | 52.6 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 11 6yo · G · bt | 138019 | 109 | 63.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: W J Lee · T: Charles O'Brien · draw 13 9yo · G · baybrownt | 921259 | 106 | 54.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 11 | 15 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Harry Eustace · draw 5 4yo · F · b | 580034 | 107 | 54.1 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 12 | 8 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: David Loughnane · draw 3 6yo · G · bp | 133270 | 105 | 52.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 13 | 14 | J: Colin Keane · T: M C Grassick · draw 9 4yo · F · bp | 70224 | 94 | 58.8 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 14 | 13 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 11170 | 113 | 61.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 15 | 18 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Michael Bell · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 83279 | 111 | 54.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 16 | 7 | J: James Doyle · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1 5yo · G · br | 11006 | 111 | 64.3 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 17 | 17 | J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 274681 | 92 | 48.4 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 14 3yo · C · bb | 11800 | 103 | 52.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:25 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Starlust) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:25 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Comanche Brave (IRE) (3.50), 2. American Affair (GB) (9.00), 3. Rumstar (GB) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:25 Curragh?
The winning time was 58.80s.
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